The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gateshead 46.1%
Draw 27%
Alfreton Town 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53%
24.5%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
16.8%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gateshead's form might have worsened.
Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gateshead that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alfreton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gateshead - Alfreton Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Recent matches Gateshead is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Alfreton is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Gateshead will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Gateshead won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-4.
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