Match Info

National League - Round 11

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	DAZN
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Taiwan	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN
World	DAZN National League


	Gateshead		Altrincham

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.62
	4.40	4.00	1.57
	4.6	3.95	1.6
	4.71	4.42	1.65
	4.45	4.03	1.68	Watch
	4.45	4.3	1.61
	4.58	4.44	1.65
	4.7	4.1	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (2.5)	4.16 ↑ (3.45)	1.62 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
20.5%

Draw
22.3%

Altrincham
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.5%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

26.3%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gateshead's form might have worsened.

Altrincham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Altrincham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gateshead, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Altrincham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Gateshead - Altrincham Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Gateshead will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Altrincham will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altrincham: 59% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Altrincham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Altrincham (1.65) (votes: 87%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jameson P. (G) 3. Ferguson D. 2. Lavery T. 5. Lankshear A. (C) 6. Robinson J. 4. Home J. 20. Fenton J. 25. McCalmont A. 21. Spellman M. 19. Supyk L. 27. Eguaibor D.	13. Firth A. (G) 21. Lopata-White R. 5. Cooper J. 2. Banks L. 22. Crawford T. (C) 14. Kosylo M. 10. Barlow A. 7. Khan O. 15. Taylor S. 11. Knowles J. 28. Hemmings K.
Substitutes
23. Chadwick B. 17. Coyle R. 24. Ferguson K. 7. Hiwula J. 29. Issaka F. 38. Lewis-Burgess K. 1. Phillips N. (G)	12. Breckin K. 4. Hinchy J. 42. Isted H. (G) 23. Kirk C. 16. Raymond R. 20. Reddin K. 17. Weaver L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Robinson J. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Knowles J. ⚽,
36', Kosylo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Hemmings K. ↓, Weaver L. ↑,
65', Robinson J. ↓, Hiwula J. ↑,
67', Cooper J. 🟨,
76', Lavery T. ↓, Ferguson K. ↑,
81', Spellman M. 🟨,
81', Knowles J. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Eguaibor D. ↓, Lewis-Burgess K. ↑,
85', Lankshear A. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
86', Home J. ↓, Chadwick B. ↑,
89', Barlow A. ↓, Hinchy J. ↑,
90', Kosylo M. ↓, Reddin K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 1.

Gateshead is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Altrincham is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Altrincham for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Altrincham in today's match, at odds of 1.73.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Gateshead has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:29 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gateshead against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:13 goals (averaging 1.1:1.4 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Gateshead - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.59%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League
26.09.26	Wealdstone - Gateshead	4:0 ✺
19.09.26	Gateshead - Southend United	1:6 ✺
English National League North
16.09.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Gateshead	1:0 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Forest Green Rovers - Gateshead	4:0 ✺
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Gateshead - Derby County U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Altrincham
English National League
26.09.26	Altrincham - Hornchurch	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Fylde - Altrincham	1:2 ✺
English National League North
16.09.26	Altrincham - Hartlepool United	2:1 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Woking - Altrincham	5:1 ✺
04.09.26	Altrincham - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
25.04.26	Altrincham - Gateshead	3:1
03.09.25	Gateshead - Altrincham	0:2
15.02.25	Gateshead - Altrincham	0:1
19.10.24	Altrincham - Gateshead	2:2
23.03.24	Altrincham - Gateshead	2:3
07.10.23	Gateshead - Altrincham	0:2
10.04.23	Altrincham - Gateshead	0:1

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