Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 17

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Mill Farm (Wesham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Fylde		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.75
	3.9	3.6	1.71
	4.2	3.75	1.78
	4.25	3.96	1.78
	4.25	3.85	1.75	Watch
	4.33	3.8	1.65
	4.33	3.96	1.67
	4.2	3.75	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (4.13)	3.8 ↓ (3.81)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylde
22.1%

Draw
24.4%

Gateshead
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

24.4%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

23.9%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Fylde - Gateshead Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Winterbottom B. (G) 3. Evans O. 10. Haughton N. 23. Hosannah B. J. 7. Jolley C. 8. Mitchell E. 5. Obi E. 34. O'Kane T. 21. Roberts T. 11. Ustabasi J. 17. Whelan C. (C)	40. Moss H. (G) 8. Booty R. 4. Butterfield J. 19. Hannant L. 46. Jones D. 23. Newton T. 9. Oseni O. 16. Radcliffe B. 2. Tinkler R. 10. Whelan C. 11. Worman B.
Substitutes
. Bardell M. 19. Brennan L. 2. Gamble P. 20. Massey G. 18. McFayden L. 1. Richardson T. (G) 40. Riley J.	12. Adom K. 30. Bassey O. (G) 17. Beck M. 14. Belehouan J. 15. Carr R. 27. Home J. 45. Malcolm J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Roberts T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Oseni O. 🟨,
72', Newton T. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
73', Jolley C. ↓, Massey G. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Massey G. ⚽, Ustabasi J. (A),
79', Evans O. ↓, McFayden L. ↑,
79', O'Kane T. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
80', Hannant L. 🟨,
81', 3 - 0, Haughton N. ⚽, Ustabasi J. (A),
82', Butterfield J. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
83', Hosannah B. J. ↓, Bardell M. ↑,
86', Winterbottom B. 🟨,
89', Roberts T. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fylde won 5.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Gateshead could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gateshead is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Fylde won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:2 (average 1.5:0.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Fylde won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:0 (average 1.2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Fylde
English National League
26.10.24	Fylde - Altrincham	0:5 ✺
23.10.24	Boston United - Fylde	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Fylde	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Fylde - Rochdale	1:4 ✺
English National League
05.10.24	Fylde - Aldershot Town	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLLW
- Gateshead
English National League Cup
06.11.24	Gateshead - Leeds United U21	1:2 ✺
English National League
26.10.24	Gateshead - Solihull Moors	1:0 ✺
23.10.24	Sutton United - Gateshead	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Altrincham - Gateshead	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
15.10.24	Gateshead - Hednesford Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
11.04.24	Fylde - Gateshead	2:0
28.10.23	Gateshead - Fylde	0:4
English National League North
05.02.22	Gateshead - Fylde	0:3
English FA Trophy
27.11.21	Fylde - Gateshead	1:0
English National League North
30.10.21	Fylde - Gateshead	2:0
10.10.20	Gateshead - Fylde	0:1
English National League
09.04.19	Gateshead - Fylde	0:1

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