The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Curzon Ashton 10.9%
Draw 22.9%
Southport 66.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
26.6%
35.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
27.1%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Curzon Ashton's form might have worsened.
Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southport's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+28.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Curzon Ashton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-31.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Curzon Ashton - Southport Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, McKenzie M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Weston T. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Keane J. ⚽,
85', 1 - 3, Gnahoua A. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 18 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 4.
Curzon Ashton has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Southport has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Recently, Southport has had a series of home games.
Southport could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Curzon Ashton won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Southport: 0.73%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
20
Southport
10
2
3
5
13:20
-7
9
Last Results with these Odds
Curzon Ashton - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.16%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Southport - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.2%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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