Match Info

FA Trophy - Semi-finals

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Southport		Southend United

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.6	1.75
	4.1	3.81	1.87
	4.15	4.1	1.71	Watch
	3.75	3.4	1.8
	4.05	3.74	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↓ (4.8)	3.73 ↓ (4.58)	1.77 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southport
23%

Draw
24.8%

Southend United
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

20.3%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

20.8%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Southend United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southend United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Southport - Southend United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Sze C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', 1 - 1, Kendall C. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Bridge J. ⚽,
75', 1 - 3, Kendall C. ⚽,
90+2', Renshaw C. 🟥,

Preview

Southport is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Southend has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Southport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Southend has had a series of home games.

In this match, Southend is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Southport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English National League North
21.03.26	Chester - Southport	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Southport - Alfreton Town	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Southport - Oxford City	1:3 ✺
10.03.26	Southport - Spennymoor Town	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Peterborough Sports - Southport	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWW
- Southend United
English National League
25.03.26	Southend United - Woking	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Altrincham - Southend United	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Southend United - Rochdale	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Southend United - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Southend United - Gateshead	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Southend United - Southport	1:0

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