Match Info

Cymru South - Round 14

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Cwmbran Celtic		Llantwit Major

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.8	1.62
	3.7	4.91	1.64
	4.55	3.99	1.67	Watch
	7	4.5	1.33
	4.67	3.94	1.66
	3.66	3.33	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (4.42)	4.08 ↑ (4)	1.59 (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cwmbran Celtic
19.8%

Draw
22.5%

Llantwit Major
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

22.6%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

21.9%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cwmbran Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Llantwit Major has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cwmbran Celtic than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	23.1%	69.2%

Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cwmbran Celtic will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Llantwit Major will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Llantwit Major: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Llantwit Major (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Llantwit Major (1.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Llantwit Major (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Llantwit Major will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Llantwit Major (votes: 9 - 90%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Hinwood J. (Own goal),
27', 0 - 2, Bevan J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 0 - 3, Gauci C. ⚽,
82', 1 - 3, Challenger T. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cwmbran Celtic won 2.

Cwmbran Celtic is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Llantwit Major is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Llantwit Major is a strong favorite.

We predict that Llantwit Major will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cwmbran Celtic won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cwmbran Celtic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Llantwit Major	8	2	1	5	7:20	-13	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
06.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Ynyshir Albions	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Llantwit Major - Cwmbran Celtic	3:1 ✺
30.01.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Cardiff Draconians	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Carmarthen Town - Cwmbran Celtic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLLT
- Llantwit Major FC
Welsh Cymru South
06.03.26	Pontypridd United - Llantwit Major	0:4 ✺
03.03.26	Llantwit Major - Treowen Stars	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Llantwit Major - Trefelin	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Ynyshir Albions - Llantwit Major	2:3 ✺
20.02.26	Newport City - Llantwit Major	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
14.02.26	Llantwit Major - Cwmbran Celtic	3:1
12.04.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	1:0
22.02.25	Llantwit Major - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1
16.03.24	Llantwit Major - Cwmbran Celtic	1:1
19.08.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	2:1
11.03.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	1:2
13.08.22	Llantwit Major - Cwmbran Celtic	0:2

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