Match Info

Cymru South - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Richmond Park (Carmarthen)


	Carmarthen Town		Penrhiwceiber Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.79	4	3.4
	1.85	4.17	3.5
	1.8	3.76	3.6
	1.79	4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.44)	3.98 ↓ (4.61)	3.48 ↓ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmarthen Town
50.7%

Draw
23%

Penrhiwceiber Rangers
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

19.8%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

20.8%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmarthen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carmarthen Town's form might have worsened.

Penrhiwceiber Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penrhiwceiber Rangers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carmarthen Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrhiwceiber Rangers than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penrhiwceiber Rangers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carmarthen Town - Penrhiwceiber Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Thomas J. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Jones G. ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Daley N. ⚽,
27', 3 - 1, Daley N. ⚽,
29', 3 - 2, Orford O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
50', 3 - 3, Thomas J. ⚽,
66', 4 - 3, Thomas L. ⚽,
70', 4 - 4, Thomas J. ⚽,
72', 4 - 5, Andrews M. ⚽,
89', 5 - 5, Richards S. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Penrhiwceiber could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Carmarthen Town is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carmarthen Town won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South
05.04.25	Baglan Dragons - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Carmarthen Town - Trefelin	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Newport City - Carmarthen Town	3:0 ✺
07.03.25	Pontypridd United - Carmarthen Town	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	Carmarthen Town - Afan Lido	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTLWT
- Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Welsh Cymru South
05.04.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Ammanford	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Caerau Ely - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Trethomas Bluebirds	0:0 ✺
12.03.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Cambrian United	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Trefelin - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
02.11.24	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Carmarthen Town	0:0
Welsh FA Cup
19.10.24	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Carmarthen Town	3:0

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