Match Info

Cymru South - Round 12

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday


	Cwmbran Celtic		Baglan Dragons

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.7	1.75
	3.63	3.96	1.82	Watch
	4.11	3.66	1.72
	3.75	3.75	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.47)	3.77 ↓ (3.82)	1.76 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cwmbran Celtic
23.9%

Draw
24.2%

Baglan Dragons
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

23.8%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

20.2%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cwmbran Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cwmbran Celtic than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cwmbran Celtic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baglan Dragons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cwmbran Celtic - Baglan Dragons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Thomas D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
72', Pike J. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Cwmbran Celtic is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Baglan Dragons has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Baglan Dragons is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cwmbran Celtic won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cwmbran Celtic won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
24.10.25	Ammanford - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1 ✺
10.10.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Caerau Ely	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Cardiff Draconians - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Aberystwyth Town - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
24.10.25	Baglan Dragons - Treowen Stars	3:4 ✺
10.10.25	Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Baglan Dragons - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Baglan Dragons - Cambrian United	0:1 ✺
17.09.25	Caerau Ely - Baglan Dragons	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
29.03.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Baglan Dragons	0:2
07.09.24	Baglan Dragons - Cwmbran Celtic	4:3
09.03.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Baglan Dragons	1:1
28.08.23	Baglan Dragons - Cwmbran Celtic	3:3

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