Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów		Korona Kielce 2

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.55	2.58
	2.29	3.66	2.62	Watch
	2.28	3.62	2.54	Watch
	1.95	3.75	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.95)	3.65 ↓ (3.75)	2.76 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
41.7%

Draw
25.1%

Korona Kielce 2
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

24.6%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

24%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów's form might have worsened.

Korona Kielce 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Korona Kielce 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Korona Kielce 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pogoń Sokół Lubaczów - Korona Kielce 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Korona 2 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lubaczów won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Lubaczów won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.10.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTLTW
- Korona Kielce 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.10.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Wisła II Kraków	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Chełmianka Chełm	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Korona Kielce 2	1:4 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Piast Gliwice	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.09.25	Korona Kielce 2 - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
25.05.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Korona Kielce 2	2:2
02.11.24	Korona Kielce 2 - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:1

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