Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 12

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)

Referee: Bengoetxea R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport LaLiga
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6
Australia	beIN Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Italy	DAZN Italia
Kosovo	K Sport 1
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
Norway	TV2 Play
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 1
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN+
World	Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Atlético Madrid		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	9	Watch
	1.32	5.5	8.75
	1.32	5.5	10	Watch
	1.33	5.8	10.21
	1.34	5.51	9.52
	1.33	5.5	9
	1.35	5.79	9.7	Watch
	1.32	5.5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.23)	5.54 ↓ (6.29)	9.52 ↓ (14.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
72.5%

Draw
17.4%

Las Palmas
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78%

15.2%

6.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid's form might have worsened.

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.6%	3.8%	5.7%

Atlético Madrid - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (47 of 52 users predict this - 90.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.37% – 98.39%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oblak J. (G) 16. Molina N. 2. Gimenez J. M. 15. Lenglet C. 21. Galan J. 22. Simeone G. 6. Koke (C) 8. Barrios P. 12. Lino S. 7. Griezmann A. 19. Alvarez J.	1. Cillessen J. (G) 18. Viti 4. Alex Suarez 15. McKenna S. 23. Munoz A. 8. Campana J. 29. Essugo D. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 10. Moleiro A. 37. Silva F. 19. Ramirez S.
Substitutes
10. Correa A. 5. de Paul R. 4. Gallagher C. 31. Gomis A. (G) 23. Mandava R. 1. Musso J. (G) 17. Riquelme R. 9. Sorloth A. 20. Witsel A.	9. Cardona M. 14. Fuster M. 21. Gil I. 6. Gonzalez F. 28. Herzog J. 25. Horkas D. (G) 5. Javier Munoz 3. Marmol M. 17. Mata J. 16. McBurnie O. 7. Pejino 11. Ramirez B.
Coaches
Simeone D.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Simeone G. ⚽, Molina N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barrios P. ↓, de Paul R. ↑,
46', Lino S. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
60', Cillessen J. ↓, Horkas D. ↑,
64', Campana J. ↓, Javier Munoz ↑,
64', Ramirez S. ↓, McBurnie O. ↑,
65', Griezmann A. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
65', Alvarez J. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
73', Lenglet C. 🟨,
81', Alex Suarez ↓, Marmol M. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Sorloth A. ⚽, de Paul R. (A),
84', Galan J. ↓, Mandava R. ↑,
85', Simeone G. ↓, Witsel A. ↑,
87', Silva F. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
87', Rodriguez K. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
88', Viti 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Atlético could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Atlético: Azpilicueta C. (Calf Injury) Le Normand R. (Head Injury)

There will not play in Las Palmas: Januzaj A. (Muscle Injury) Marvin (Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético: Gimenez J. M. (Injury) Lemar T. (Injury) Llorente M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Loiodice E. (Knee Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Atlético won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 30:6 (average 2.7:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:3 (average 2.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Vic - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
27.10.24	Betis - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.10.24	Atlético Madrid - Lille	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
20.10.24	Atlético Madrid - Leganés	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWT
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Ontiñena - Las Palmas	0:7 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.24	Las Palmas - Girona	1:0 ✺
21.10.24	Valencia - Las Palmas	2:3 ✺
05.10.24	Las Palmas - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
30.09.24	Villarreal - Las Palmas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
17.02.24	Atlético Madrid - Las Palmas	5:0
03.11.23	Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid	2:1
28.01.18	Atlético Madrid - Las Palmas	3:0
26.08.17	Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid	1:5
29.04.17	Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid	0:5
Spanish Copa del Rey
10.01.17	Atlético Madrid - Las Palmas	2:3
03.01.17	Las Palmas - Atlético Madrid	0:2

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