Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 22

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Galech I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1
World	Disney+


	Ferrol		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.5
	1.85	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.82	3.31	4.88
	1.81	3.37	4.95	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4.4
	1.84	3.38	4.68	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.82)	3.28 ↓ (3.28)	4.65 ↓ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
51.2%

Draw
28.6%

Cartagena
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

28.5%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

30.3%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Ferrol - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Cartagena will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferrol: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ruiz J. (G) 22. Bunuel A. 4. Puric A. 5. Naldo 15. Castro D. 6. Sanz A. 10. Sene J. 11. Nacho 14. Gelardo A. 17. Dorrio J. 20. Gimenez A.	1. Cunat P. (G) 2. Moreno J. 4. Alcala P. (C) 24. Sipcic N. 3. Rios Reina J. 17. Andy 37. Roman P. 6. Mini 8. Munoz L. 34. Gonzalez H. 7. Valles G.
Substitutes
12. Bebe 7. Borrego C. 26. Carballo D. 2. Delmas J. 1. Emilio (G) 9. Jauregi E. 8. Lopez A. 24. Perea L. 13. Yoel (G)	26. Andugar A. 40. Fuidias T. (G) 28. Hernandez J. 35. Nono (G) 22. Olivas K. 9. Ortuno A. 27. Sanchez Alcaraz C. 12. Vukcevic A.
Coaches
Parralo C.	Jandro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Musto D. ↓, Sanchez Alcaraz C. ↑,
14', Gelardo A. 🟨,
27', Sipcic N. ↓, Olivas K. ↑,
30', Naldo 🟨,
43', Escriche D. 🟨,
45', Jandro 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Roman P. 🟨,
59', Gelardo A. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
66', Perea L. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
66', Jauregi E. ↓, Sanz A. ↑,
72', Roman P. ↓, Teguia C. ↑,
73', Escriche D. ↓, Rios Reina J. ↑,
83', Bebe ↓, Nacho ↑,
83', Dorrio J. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Cartagena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ferrol is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.01.25	Ferrol - Rayo Vallecano	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.24	Zaragoza - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
18.12.24	Ferrol - Almería	1:4 ✺
15.12.24	Sporting de Gijón - Ferrol	1:3 ✺
08.12.24	Ferrol - Real Oviedo	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLLWL
- FC Cartagena
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Cartagena - Leganés	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
20.12.24	Cartagena - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
17.12.24	Granada - Cartagena	4:1 ✺
14.12.24	Castellón - Cartagena	4:1 ✺
09.12.24	Cartagena - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.10.24	Cartagena - Ferrol	0:1
09.03.24	Cartagena - Ferrol	2:1
08.10.23	Ferrol - Cartagena	1:1

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