Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 23

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
World	Disney+


	Cartagena		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
				Watch
	4.8	3.2	1.83
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (4.25)	3.2 ↓ (3.22)	1.83 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
19.5%

Draw
29.3%

Real Oviedo
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

29%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

27.8%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Cartagena - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Oviedo will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cunat P. (G) 21. Delmas J. 4. Alcala P. (C) 22. Olivas K. 20. Izquierdo J. 6. Mini 17. Andy 10. Escriche D. 11. Clemente O. 23. Teguia C. 9. Ortuno A.	13. Escandell A. (G) 15. Luengo O. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. (C) 21. Pomares C. 11. Colombatto S. 6. Sibo K. 23. Hassan H. 10. Portillo F. 16. Chaira I. 9. Alemao
Substitutes
40. Fuidias T. (G) 34. Gonzalez H. 28. Hernandez J. 2. Moreno J. 35. Nono (G) 3. Rios Reina J. 37. Roman P. 27. Sanchez Alcaraz C. 24. Sipcic N. 7. Valles G. 12. Vukcevic A.	24. Ahijado L. 1. Braat Q. (G) 27. Cardero A. 31. Chukwuma E. 18. de la Fuente P. 17. de la Hoz C. 22. Dotor C. 7. Moyano F. 14. Paraschiv D. 29. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Jandro	Calleja J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Escriche D. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Alemao ⚽, Luengo O. (A),
38', Sibo K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Hassan H. ↓, de la Fuente P. ↑,
55', Luengo O. ↓, Ahijado L. ↑,
64', Teguia C. ↓, Rios Reina J. ↑,
64', Ortuno A. ↓, Valles G. ↑,
72', Escriche D. ↓, Roman P. ↑,
72', Delmas J. ↓, Aguirregabiria M. ↑,
75', Portillo F. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
77', Alcala P. 🟨,
83', Sibo K. ↓, de la Hoz C. ↑,
83', Chaira I. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
86', Izquierdo J. ↓, Gonzalez H. ↑,
88', Cardero A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 3.

Cartagena is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oviedo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oviedo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Oviedo is a favorite.

There will not play in Cartagena: Musto D. (Yellow Cards) Sipcic N. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Oviedo: Seoane J. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Cartagena: Verdu G. (Muscle Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
11.01.25	Ferrol - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Cartagena - Leganés	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
20.12.24	Cartagena - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
17.12.24	Granada - Cartagena	4:1 ✺
14.12.24	Castellón - Cartagena	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTLL
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
11.01.25	Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Real Oviedo - Córdoba	2:3 ✺
17.12.24	Zaragoza - Real Oviedo	2:3 ✺
14.12.24	Real Oviedo - Granada	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Ferrol - Real Oviedo	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
15.09.24	Real Oviedo - Cartagena	1:0
22.04.24	Cartagena - Real Oviedo	2:0
13.11.23	Real Oviedo - Cartagena	1:1
17.02.23	Cartagena - Real Oviedo	2:1
02.10.22	Real Oviedo - Cartagena	1:3
03.04.22	Cartagena - Real Oviedo	1:2
12.09.21	Real Oviedo - Cartagena	2:0

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