Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 23

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Cid G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Leganés		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.85	3.35	4.15
	1.96	3.43	4.58
	1.87	3.47	4.34	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4.2
	1.91	3.33	4.36	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.65)	3.35 ↓ (3.58)	4.33 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
50.1%

Draw
28.1%

Real Sociedad B
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

25.9%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

25.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leganés's form might have worsened.

Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Leganés - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Real Sociedad B (3.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés (votes: 1 - 25%). Real Sociedad B (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soriano J. (G) 7. Pena R. (C) 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 2. Marvel 15. Franquesa E. 24. Diawara A. 8. Cisse S. 20. Plano O. 10. Cruz J. 23. Millan A. 17. Garcia N.	1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 4. Beitia L. 5. Rodriguez P. 15. Kita K. 3. Balda J. 17. Astiazaran L. 14. Carbonell T. 8. Rodriguez M. 18. Carrera G. 10. Mariezkurrena A.
Substitutes
21. Campos A. 11. Duk 19. Garcia D. 26. Guirao C. 36. Leiva M. 14. Lopez R. 16. Melero G. 5. Miquel I. 18. Pauwels B. 9. Rodriguez D. 3. Saenz J. 13. San Roman M. (G)	41. Adjabeng A. 23. Agote U. 13. Arana E. (G) 30. Eceizabarrena J. 29. Garro J. 16. Gorosabel G. 33. Gorosabel J. 34. Oleaga J. 20. Osazuwa S. 39. Unax A.
Coaches
Oca I.	Ansotegi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Diawara A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Beitia L. 🟨,
57', Millan A. (Penalty Awarded),
62', 1 - 0, Millan A. ⚽, Cruz J. (A),
65', Kita K. ↓, Gorosabel G. ↑,
65', Mariezkurrena A. ↓, Adjabeng A. ↑,
71', Garcia N. ↓, Duk ↑,
71', Millan A. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
78', Plano O. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Garcia D. ⚽, Duk (A),
84', Carbonell T. ↓, Osazuwa S. ↑,
84', Dadie Izagirre A. ↓, Garro J. ↑,
85', Cruz J. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
85', Diawara A. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
86', Melero G. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 18).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Real Sociedad B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leganés is the team to beat.

There will not play in Leganés: Duk (Injury) Figueredo S. (Injury) Pulido R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Calderon I. (Injury) Olasagasti L. (Injury) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leganés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Leganes	9	3	2	4	6:14	-8	11
19	Real Sociedad B	9	2	2	5	12:17	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
16.01.26	Castellón - Leganés	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Leganés - Valladolid	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Albacete Balompié - Leganés	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Racing Santander - Leganés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWLT
- Real Sociedad B
English Premier League International Cup
21.01.26	Chelsea U21 - Real Sociedad B	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
17.01.26	Zaragoza - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Real Sociedad B - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Leonesa - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Real Sociedad B - Ceuta	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.11.25	Real Sociedad B - Leganés	2:1
08.01.22	Leganés - Real Sociedad B	1:1
14.08.21	Real Sociedad B - Leganés	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.03.14	Real Sociedad B - Leganés	0:0
27.10.13	Leganés - Real Sociedad B	0:1

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