The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cúcuta Deportivo 22.2%
Draw 24.6%
Atlético Nacional 53.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
16.8%
24%
59.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16%
24.2%
59.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cúcuta Deportivo's performance.
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cúcuta Deportivo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cúcuta Deportivo - Atlético Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Abadia F. (G) 30. Montano B. 2. Lopes H. 4. Quinones J. 33. Tamara S. 3. Calcaterra D. (C) 21. Carabali Lopez M. B. 20. Perez D. 10. Berdugo L. 77. Neneco 11. Torres G.
25. Marquinez L. (G) 6. Roman A. 3. Parra N. 4. Haydar C. 33. Velasquez S. 21. Campuzano J. 26. Marin F. 8. Uribe M. 13. Rodriguez N. 23. Rodriguez J. (C) 30. Parra Atehortua K.
Substitutes
26. Abonia Y. 32. Agudelo J. 8. Ceballos J. 18. Cordoba C. 27. Duarte Barajas E. M. 16. Londono K. 7. Manyoma Cordoba J. E. 1. Ramirez J. (G) 29. Rios L.
20. Casco M. 39. Echeverria E. 36. Escorcia R. 35. Lozano M. 38. Moreno J. 19. Rengifo J. 31. Rios X. 14. Rivero E. 44. Zea E. (G)
Coaches
Chiesa N.
Gonzalez L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Parra N. (Own goal),
27', Uribe M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Carabali Lopez M. B. ↓, Abonia Y. ↑,
52', Abonia Y. 🟨,
61', Rodriguez N. ↓, Escorcia R. ↑,
61', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
61', Calcaterra D. ↓, Londono K. ↑,
64', Perez D. ↓, Duarte Barajas E. M. ↑,
69', Uribe M. ↓, Echeverria E. ↑,
70', Tamara S. ↓, Ceballos J. ↑,
70', Berdugo L. ↓, Rios L. ↑,
82', Roman A. ↓, Rios X. ↑,
82', Campuzano J. ↓, Lozano M. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 2nd in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 0.
Cúcuta has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Atlético Nacional shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Atlético Nacional may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Atlético Nacional has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Atlético Nacional is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Cúcuta has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:20 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cúcuta against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 4:10 goals (averaging 0.7:1.7 per game).