Match Info

Date: 17 October 2020, Saturday


	Cúcuta Deportivo		Envigado

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.45	Watch
	2.95	2.75	2.45
	3.3	2.7	2.4	Watch
	3.15	2.65	2.44
	3.56	2.7	2.62
	3.25	2.7	2.55
	3.14	2.84	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.31)	2.76 ↓ (2.91)	2.49 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cúcuta Deportivo
28.9%

Draw
33.7%

Envigado
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

31.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

20.7%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cúcuta Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Envigado, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cúcuta Deportivo - Envigado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 10).

Cúcuta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Envigado is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Envigado could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cúcuta won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Cúcuta won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera A
14.10.20	Once Caldas - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1 ✺
11.10.20	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportes Tolima	0:3 ✺
08.10.20	Independiente Medellín - Cúcuta Deportivo	4:1 ✺
02.10.20	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Santa Fe	2:3 ✺
27.09.20	Boyacá Chicó - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLLLW
- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera A
14.10.20	Envigado - Millonarios	1:2 ✺
10.10.20	Deportivo Pereira - Envigado	1:1 ✺
07.10.20	Envigado - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
03.10.20	Atlético Nacional - Envigado	3:2 ✺
26.09.20	Envigado - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
27.07.19	Envigado - Cúcuta Deportivo	4:1
03.02.19	Cúcuta Deportivo - Envigado	1:1
04.10.15	Envigado - Cúcuta Deportivo	4:1
12.04.15	Cúcuta Deportivo - Envigado	0:0
25.09.13	Envigado - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:0
18.04.13	Cúcuta Deportivo - Envigado	3:0
28.07.12	Cúcuta Deportivo - Envigado	2:1

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