Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado)

Referee: Montano W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz


	Envigado		Junior Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.05
	3.4	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.54	3.25	2.17
	3.57	2.91	2.24	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.15
	3.36	3.22	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↓ (3.8)	3.16 ↓ (3.21)	2.16 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Envigado
27.3%

Draw
29.5%

Junior Barranquilla
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

29.2%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

28.3%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Envigado - Junior Barranquilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Junior will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Junior: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Junior Barranquilla will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montoya J. (G) 15. Cuervo S. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 2. Palacios D. 3. Holguin J. 6. Palacio J. 21. Lopez E. (C) 31. Berrio F. 18. Hurtado W. 9. Londono S. 70. Araujo J.	1. Silveira M. (G) 3. Herrera E. 98. Pena J. 66. Baez C. 26. Suarez Y. 16. Esparragoza C. 28. Celis G. 17. Salazar J. 22. Rivas J. 8. Chara Y. 9. Paiva G.
Substitutes
30. Agron B. 34. Diaz L. 8. Espana Alvarez R. C. 11. Garces J. 39. Gomez L. 14. Hinestroza J. 36. Murillo B. 13. Soto T. 88. Tovar A. (G) 4. Uribe N.	80. Angel Bernal F. S. 21. Canchimbo J. 88. Castrillon B. 99. Enamorado J. 34. Guerrero J. 29. Gutierrez T. 30. Martinez J. (G) 14. Olmos C. 23. Titi
Coaches
Orozco A.	Arias A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Londono S. 🟨,
17', Rivas J. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Londono S. ⚽, Hurtado W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Salazar J. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
46', Esparragoza C. ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
57', Araujo J. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
57', Londono S. ↓, Garces J. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Castrillon B. ⚽, Enamorado J. (A),
63', Garces J. 🟨,
64', Berrio F. ↓, Espana Alvarez R. C. ↑,
69', Enamorado J. 🟨,
76', Hurtado W. 🟨,
77', Palacios D. 🟨,
77', Castrillon B. 🟨,
77', Lopez E. 🟨,
80', Chara Y. ↓, Titi ↑,
82', Lopez E. ↓, Hinestroza J. ↑,
82', Hurtado W. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
85', Hinestroza J. 🟨,
85', Paiva G. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
86', Montoya J. 🟨,
88', Gomez L. 🟥,
90+1', Rivas J. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 2.

Envigado has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Junior is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Envigado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Envigado has had a series of home games.

Junior could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 0.9:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Junior Barranquilla - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 46.18%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera A
27.07.25	Envigado - Deportivo La Equidad	1:1 ✺
24.07.25	Independiente Medellín - Envigado	3:4 ✺
20.07.25	Envigado - Deportivo Cali	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Envigado - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
15.06.25	Envigado - Rionegro Águilas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 TWTLW
- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Copa
06.08.25	Atlético Huila - Junior Barranquilla	1:2 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
02.08.25	Junior Barranquilla - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
29.07.25	Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Huila	2:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
26.07.25	Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla	2:2 ✺
23.07.25	Junior Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
24.02.25	Junior Barranquilla - Envigado	1:2
02.11.24	Envigado - Junior Barranquilla	0:0
13.04.24	Junior Barranquilla - Envigado	1:1
26.08.23	Envigado - Junior Barranquilla	1:2
12.03.23	Junior Barranquilla - Envigado	1:2
17.10.22	Envigado - Junior Barranquilla	2:0
01.05.22	Junior Barranquilla - Envigado	4:0

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