Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 19

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fubo Latino 2


	Envigado		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.73	Watch
	4.7	3.45	1.75	Watch
	5.07	3.6	1.75
	4.29	3.30	1.82	Watch
	5.02	3.41	1.74	Watch
	4	3.15	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (4.29)	3.39 ↑ (3.3)	1.79 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Envigado
20%

Draw
27.6%

Millonarios
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

27.9%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

26.9%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Millonarios aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Envigado - Millonarios Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Millonarios (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Millonarios will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Millonarios will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tovar A. (G) 4. Uribe N. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 7. Dawson D. 3. Holguin J. 6. Palacio J. 5. Norena S. 34. Diaz L. 31. Berrio F. 11. Garces J. 21. Lopez E. (C)	12. Novoa D. (G) 3. Diaz Samuel M. 29. Moreno Paz A. F. 17. Arias J. 20. Banguero D. 28. Vega S. 8. Victoria Palacios D. S. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 14. Silva D. (C) 70. Mosquera E. 32. Giordana S.
Substitutes
15. Cuervo S. 8. Espana Alvarez R. C. 14. Hinestroza J. 18. Hurtado W. 38. Marulanda M. 1. Montoya J. (G) 36. Murillo B. 13. Soto T. 29. Zapata D.	5. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 19. Carvajal J. 15. Castrillon S. 1. De Amores G. (G) 99. Hurtado J. 34. Navarro S. 13. Palacios H. 72. Sanchez N. 4. Vargas J.
Coaches
Orozco A.	Torres H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Diaz L. 🟨,
14', Diaz Samuel M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
46', Berrio F. ↓, Espana Alvarez R. C. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Garces J. (A),
55', Gamboa Valencia J. J. 🟨,
60', Giordana S. ↓, Carvajal J. ↑,
64', Vega S. 🟨,
67', Vega S. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
68', Sanchez N. 🟨,
70', Mosquera E. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
73', Dawson D. 🟨,
76', Dawson D. ↓, Marulanda M. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Carvajal J. ⚽,
80', Palacio J. ↓, Hinestroza J. ↑,
80', Garces J. ↓, Hurtado W. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Envigado has had a series of away games.

In this match, Millonarios is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Envigado FC
Colombian Copa
03.11.25	Envigado - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
28.10.25	Rionegro Águilas - Envigado	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Envigado - Boyacá Chicó	0:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
21.10.25	Deportivo Pereira - Envigado	1:1 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
17.10.25	Unión Magdalena - Envigado	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLLWL
- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
29.10.25	Millonarios - Once Caldas	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios	0:1 ✺
21.10.25	Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:1 ✺
15.10.25	Deportivo Pereira - Millonarios	3:2 ✺
07.10.25	Millonarios - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
16.09.25	Millonarios - Envigado	0:0
03.09.25	Envigado - Millonarios	1:0
Colombian Primera A
16.05.25	Millonarios - Envigado	1:0
28.09.24	Millonarios - Envigado	3:0
17.03.24	Envigado - Millonarios	1:1
25.09.23	Envigado - Millonarios	1:2
04.05.23	Millonarios - Envigado	1:1

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