Match Info

COLOMBIA: Liga Women - Round 11

Date: 13 May 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio General Santander (Cúcuta)


	Cúcuta Deportivo		Junior Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	6
	1.22	6	9.5
	1.23	5.24	8.48
	1.24	5.19	8.45
	1.22	6.64	8.85
	1.22	6	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.32)	5.72 ↑ (5.6)	8.46 ↑ (6.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cúcuta Deportivo
73.3%

Draw
15.9%

Junior Barranquilla
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

16.5%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

13.8%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cúcuta Deportivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Acosta A. (G) 17. Alvarado K. 10. Constante S. 11. Franco K. 8. Garzon S. 7. Parada J. 13. Rozo D. 15. Ruiz N. 4. Sanchez N. 19. Sarmiento S. 5. Siso K.	4. Aguilar V. 8. Arroyo C. 14. Cardona M. 6. Hernandez P. 18. Julio D. 21. Mendoza O. 27. Miranda Y. 25. Otalvarez M. 22. Perdomo K. 10. Rodriguez W. 7. Santos S.
Substitutes
24. Aguilar J. 28. Garcia Y. 3. Hoyos C. 21. Loaiza M. 1. Montanez J. (G) 23. Pallares S.	16. Antero N. 2. Cabrales V. 28. Cataneda M. 1. Ceballos K. (G) 5. Herrera V. 19. Osorio E. 24. Renteria K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Otalvarez M. ↓, Cabrales V. ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Franco K. ⚽, Garzon S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Sarmiento S. ↓, Pallares S. ↑,
64', Mendoza O. ↓, Renteria K. ↑,
67', Parada J. ↓, Loaiza M. ↑,
73', Hernandez P. 🟨,
77', Arroyo C. ↓, Cataneda M. ↑,
78', Rodriguez W. ↓, Antero N. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Antero N. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 15).

Cúcuta is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Junior has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Cúcuta is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cúcuta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Cúcuta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cúcuta Deportivo Women
Colombian Liga Women
05.05.24	Deportivo Pereira - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Alianza Valledupar	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Millonarios - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín	0:0 ✺
04.04.24	Deportivo Cali - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTTL
- Junior Barranquilla Women
Colombian Liga Women
04.05.24	Junior Barranquilla - América de Cali	2:6 ✺
27.04.24	Llaneros - Junior Barranquilla	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pereira	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Junior Barranquilla - Millonarios	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
21.07.19	Cúcuta Deportivo - Junior Barranquilla	0:1

Cúcuta Deportivo - Junior Barranquilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide