Match Info

COLOMBIA: Liga Women - Round 10

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas (Pereira)


	Deportivo Pereira		Cúcuta Deportivo

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.75
	3.81	3.67	1.79
	4.18	3.31	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↓ (5.08)	3.46 ↓ (4.04)	1.8 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pereira
23.2%

Draw
26.3%

Cúcuta Deportivo
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

22.9%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

22.4%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Cúcuta Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cúcuta Deportivo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Pereira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cúcuta Deportivo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia L. (G) 13. Contreras K. 17. Cossio M. 27. Gaviria D. 19. Gomez E. 16. Henao A. 8. Largo E. 21. Palacios V. 20. Patino S. 9. Rojas V. 24. Valencia A.	22. Acosta A. (G) 24. Aguilar J. 3. Ariza V. 10. Constante S. 11. Franco K. 21. Loaiza M. 18. Moreno A. 6. Moreno J. 13. Rozo D. 15. Ruiz N. 5. Siso K.
Substitutes
6. Agudelo E. 99. Buitrago S. (G) 18. Quintero O. 5. Rivera T. 10. Rojas M. 11. Santana D. 29. Toloza L.	1. Diaz S. (G) 28. Garcia J. 8. Garzon S. 23. Pallares S. 7. Parada J. 9. Rodriguez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Rojas V. ⚽, Henao A. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Henao A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ariza V. ↓, Garzon S. ↑,
46', Aguilar J. ↓, Parada J. ↑,
53', Moreno A. 🟨,
56', Contreras K. ↓, Agudelo E. ↑,
59', Moreno J. 🟨,
64', Loaiza M. 🟨,
70', Constante S. 🟨,
74', Moreno J. ↓, Soto C. ↑,
74', Loaiza M. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
77', Palacios V. ↓, Quintero O. ↑,
84', Franco K. ↓, Pallares S. ↑,
87', Patino S. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Garcia J. ⚽, Pallares S. (A),
90', Garcia J. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Pereira is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cúcuta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cúcuta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cúcuta is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pereira Women
Colombian Liga Women
27.04.24	América de Cali - Deportivo Pereira	5:0 ✺
20.04.24	Deportivo Pereira - Llaneros	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pereira	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Deportivo Pereira - Alianza Valledupar	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Millonarios - Deportivo Pereira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL
- Cúcuta Deportivo Women
Colombian Liga Women
28.04.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Alianza Valledupar	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Millonarios - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín	0:0 ✺
04.04.24	Deportivo Cali - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Pasto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTTLW

Deportivo Pereira - Cúcuta Deportivo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide