Match Info

COLOMBIA: Liga Women - Round 8

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)


	Millonarios		Cúcuta Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.7	6.25
	1.52	3.75	5.5
	1.45	3.92	6.98
	1.46	3.92	6.98
	1.45	3.9	7.43
	1.52	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.73)	3.82 ↑ (3.63)	6.44 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millonarios
61.9%

Draw
23.9%

Cúcuta Deportivo
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

25.5%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

25.4%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Millonarios's performance.

Cúcuta Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cúcuta Deportivo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Millonarios that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cúcuta Deportivo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lugo M. (G) 15. Ariza T. 4. Bolano L. 10. Castellanos D. 7. Celis D. 16. Gomez L. 14. Gutierrez M. 9. Romero K. 11. Salazar L. 17. Tamayo L. 22. Torres M.	12. Acosta A. (G) 10. Constante S. 24. Franco K. 8. Garzon S. 6. Moreno J. 23. Pallares S. 7. Parada J. 13. Rozo D. 15. Ruiz N. 5. Siso K. 18. Tarazona A.
Substitutes
20. Amaya C. 1. Borquez Vargas G. F. (G) 21. Calvo L. 8. Chaves D. 5. Marquinez M. 3. Romero J. 24. Torres R.	4. Aguilar J. 3. Ariza V. 28. Hoyos C. 21. Loaiza M. 22. Montanez J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Ariza T. ⚽, Romero K. (A),
8', Gomez L. 🟨,
18', Gutierrez M. 🟨,
20', Siso K. 🟨,
40', Pallares S. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
43', Moreno J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Romero K. ↓, Amaya C. ↑,
46', Gomez L. ↓, Marquinez M. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Parada J. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
70', Franco K. ↓, Loaiza M. ↑,
70', Parada J. ↓, Aguilar J. ↑,
70', Bolano L. ↓, Chaves D. ↑,
73', Moreno A. 🟨,
79', Celis D. ↓, Calvo L. ↑,
80', Garcia J. ↓, Ariza V. ↑,
89', Ariza V. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Millonarios could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Millonarios is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millonarios Women
Colombian Liga Women
13.04.24	América de Cali - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Millonarios - Llaneros	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	Junior Barranquilla - Millonarios	0:3 ✺
17.03.24	Millonarios - Deportivo Pereira	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWT
- Cúcuta Deportivo Women
Colombian Liga Women
13.04.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín	0:0 ✺
04.04.24	Deportivo Cali - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Pasto	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Real Santander - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - La Equidad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLWWW

Millonarios - Cúcuta Deportivo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide