The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Valledupar 44.2%
Draw 28.9%
Junior Barranquilla 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
25.9%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
25.4%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Junior Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Saravia A. (G) 28. Jaimes F. 3. Ramos T. 8. Cabrales V. 18. Vera H. 11. Florez M. 6. Sandoval A. 24. Gallego M. 14. Diaz H. 10. Constante S. 20. Mendivelso N.
12. Gonzalez V. (G) 20. Carrasquilla D. 3. Romero J. 5. Herrera V. 13. Cordero C. 21. De la Hoz D. 10. Rodriguez W. 6. Hernandez P. 14. Cardona M. 18. Julio D. 9. Mendoza O.
Substitutes
16. Bolano M. 99. Garrido E. 5. Gomez L. 21. Granados K. 12. Patino N. (G) 30. Perez E. 2. Saldarriaga L.
8. Arroyo C. 16. Castaneda M. 1. Ceballos K. (G) 17. Herrera R. 4. Marin S. 27. Miranda Y. 2. Morales M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Hernandez P. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Constante S. ⚽, Diaz H. (A),
9', 2 - 1, Mendivelso N. ⚽,
22', 2 - 2, Julio D. ⚽, Cardona M. (A),
35', 2 - 3, Mendoza O. ⚽, Hernandez P. (A),
44', Jaimes F. 🟨,
44', Julio D. ↓, Castaneda M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Saravia A. ↓, Patino N. ↑,
50', Romero J. 🟨,
60', Herrera V. 🟨,
62', Cardona M. ↓, Arroyo C. ↑,
68', Mendivelso N. ↓, Garrido E. ↑,
83', 2 - 4, De la Hoz D. ⚽, Mendoza O. (A),
85', 🟨,
86', De la Hoz D. ↓, Marin S. ↑,
89', Florez M. ↓, Saldarriaga L. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 5, Castaneda M. ⚽,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).
Recent matches Alianza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Junior is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Junior could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Alianza will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Alianza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
Including matches at home between the teams Alianza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
Watch
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Saravia A. (G) 
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