Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio General Santander (Cúcuta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play


	Cúcuta Deportivo		Real Cartagena

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.2	3.8
	2.1	3.25	3.35	Watch
	2.19	3.22	3.49
	2.15	3.22	3.46	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4
	2	3.34	3.53	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.84)	3.24 ↓ (3.38)	3.57 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cúcuta Deportivo
45.5%

Draw
28.5%

Real Cartagena
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

27.4%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

25.7%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cúcuta Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Real Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cúcuta Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (-5%)

Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Cartagena Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cúcuta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramirez J. (G) 13. Anaya J. 2. Ballesteros A. 16. Borja A. 20. Cano J. 11. Carreno A. 8. Ceballos J. 21. Guevara L. 49. Hinestroza L. 7. Ramos J. (C) 28. Valencia O.	23. Mosquera C. (G) 16. Artola I. 31. Barrios J. 7. De La Rosa W. 17. Marrugo C. 4. Montanez A. 10. Montero F. 28. Paternina C. 13. Ramirez J. 93. Rodriguez A. 5. Solarte Espana J. A.
Substitutes
5. Angulo Castro B. 30. Carmona M. 23. Gelvez D. 9. Pisano M. 31. Renteria R. 88. Robledo L. 12. Sanchez R. (G)	2. Barrios D. 18. Ditta Ruiz J. J. 22. Fontalvo R. (G) 24. Mendoza J. 27. Salcedo J. 6. Torres Y. 19. Valencia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Montanez A. 🟨,
9', Guevara L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ballesteros A. ↓, Pisano M. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Montero F. ⚽,
62', Montero F. ↓, Salcedo J. ↑,
62', Ramirez J. 🟨,
62', Marrugo C. ↓, Torres Y. ↑,
62', Artola I. ↓, Barrios D. ↑,
62', Carreno A. ↓, Robledo L. ↑,
69', Ceballos J. 🟨,
72', Pisano M. 🟨,
74', De La Rosa W. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Pisano M. (Pen),
81', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Cúcuta is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )

Real Cartagena is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 3.

Cúcuta is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Real Cartagena's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Real Cartagena has had a series of home games.

In this match, Cúcuta is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cúcuta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera B
06.05.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Santander	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Jaguares de Córdoba - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Leones - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Atlético Cali	4:2 ✺
06.04.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Barranquilla	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW
- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
06.05.25	Real Cartagena - Barranquilla	3:0 ✺
30.04.25	Real Cartagena - Atlético Huila	1:1 ✺
25.04.25	Atlético Cali - Real Cartagena	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Real Cartagena - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:3 ✺
16.04.25	Real Cartagena - Patriotas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
07.08.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Cartagena	2:1
17.02.24	Real Cartagena - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1
16.09.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Cartagena	2:0
Colombian Copa
03.05.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Cartagena	0:0
12.04.23	Real Cartagena - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:1
Colombian Primera B
09.04.23	Real Cartagena - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2
29.07.22	Real Cartagena - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:2

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