Match Info

A Lyga - Round 28

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Telsiai Central Stadium (Telsiai)

Referee: Jackus M. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LRT TV


	Džiugas Telšiai		Dainava Alytus

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	4.4
	1.72	3.35	4.35
	1.8	3.48	4.46
	1.83	3.36	4.34	Watch
	1.78	3.55	4.46	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.82)	3.39 ↑ (3.34)	4.32 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Džiugas Telšiai
51.7%

Draw
27.1%

Dainava Alytus
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.1%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

26.5%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Džiugas Telšiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Dainava Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Džiugas Telšiai than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Džiugas Telšiai - Dainava Alytus Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Džiugas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Džiugas Telšiai will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Ryabenko D. (G) 2. Vermeulen V. 4. Sane B. 24. Trajkovski D. 77. Urbys S. 16. Romano G. 33. Ankudinovas L. (C) 20. Martin D. 23. Cisse I. 10. Piliukaitis V. 9. Baghdasaryan A.	1. Krynskyi V. (G) 75. Stockunas E. (C) 3. Maksymenko M. 5. Chikovani N. 13. Faye C. 24. Paliusis N. 23. Koshkosh I. 8. Achol M. 17. Zevzikovas D. 15. DeZart J. 11. Lubas J.
Substitutes
43. Budreckis A. 14. Girdvainis G. 26. Kurtsev O. 1. Paukste M. (G) 3. Pushkarov M. 22. Rybcynskij M. (G) 90. Sobowale R. 7. Vasiliauskas M. 11. Yamada H.	2. Daniel Alemao 95. Dudik A. 77. Mickevicius A. (G) 26. Reginaldo 29. Zabita G. 33. Zahladko V.
Coaches
Lipskis A.	Orazov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Koshkosh I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Vermeulen V. 🟨,
50', Paliusis N. 🟨,
62', Chikovani N. ↓, Zabita G. ↑,
63', Martin D. ↓, Kurtsev O. ↑,
63', Baghdasaryan A. ↓, Sobowale R. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Daniel Alemao ⚽,
78', 1 - 1, Kurtsev O. ⚽,
85', Piliukaitis V. ↓, Girdvainis G. ↑,
85', Vermeulen V. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
85', Faye C. ↓, Reginaldo ↑,
90+3', Paliusis N. ↓, Zahladko V. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Džiugas won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Džiugas is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Džiugas won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Džiugas won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
31.08.25	Džiugas Telšiai - FA Šiauliai	1:3 ✺
22.08.25	Riteriai - Džiugas Telšiai	0:2 ✺
17.08.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
12.08.25	Babrungas Plungė - Džiugas Telšiai	1:2 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
08.08.25	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLWW
- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
30.08.25	Riteriai - Dainava Alytus	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Dainava Alytus - Banga Gargždai	0:5 ✺
20.08.25	Žalgiris - Dainava Alytus	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Dainava Alytus	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Dainava Alytus - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
06.07.25	Dainava Alytus - Džiugas Telšiai	0:2
03.05.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Dainava Alytus	2:0
14.03.25	Dainava Alytus - Džiugas Telšiai	0:2
01.09.24	Džiugas Telšiai - Dainava Alytus	0:2
26.06.24	Dainava Alytus - Džiugas Telšiai	3:1
02.05.24	Džiugas Telšiai - Dainava Alytus	2:1
13.03.24	Dainava Alytus - Džiugas Telšiai	0:0

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