Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Audi Field (Washington)

Referee: Bazakos F. (Usa)


	DC United		Los Angeles Galaxy

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.25
	2.02	3.65	3.4
	2.17	3.69	3.37
	2.15	3.4	3.2
	2.11	3.62	3.26	Watch
	2.1	3.45	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.91)	3.54 ↓ (3.72)	3.33 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

DC United
44.9%

Draw
26.7%

Los Angeles Galaxy
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

25.1%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

24.6%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

DC United - Los Angeles Galaxy Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).

DC United has the most likely position - 13 (9.99%), project points - 43, currently - 16, a chance of playoffs (44%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (1%).

LA Galaxy has the most likely position - 13 (9.77%), project points - 41, currently - 9, a good chance of playoffs (52%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 40, small importance 22, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches DC United won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

DC United will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in DC United: Rodriguez M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in LA Galaxy: Costa D. (Injury) Mavinga C. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches DC United won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-18.

Including matches at home between the teams DC United won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DC United
MLS
17.05.23	Philadelphia Union - DC United	0:0 ✺
13.05.23	DC United - Nashville SC	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
09.05.23	New York Red Bulls - DC United	1:0 ✺
MLS
06.05.23	Cincinnati - DC United	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	DC United - Charlotte	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTLLW
- Los Angeles Galaxy
MLS
17.05.23	Columbus Crew - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
10.05.23	Los Angeles Galaxy - Seattle Sounders	3:1 ✺
MLS
06.05.23	Los Angeles Galaxy - Colorado Rapids	1:3 ✺
29.04.23	Orlando City - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.02.22	Los Angeles Galaxy - DC United	2:2
MLS
11.08.19	DC United - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:1
04.07.18	Los Angeles Galaxy - DC United	2:2
03.06.17	DC United - Los Angeles Galaxy	0:0
06.03.16	Los Angeles Galaxy - DC United	4:1
28.03.15	DC United - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:0
27.08.14	Los Angeles Galaxy - DC United	4:1

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