Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 League - Round 11

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday


	Daegu 2		Pocheon

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.57	2.06
	3.4	3.57	2.04
	3.32	3.42	1.99	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.35)	3.47 ↑ (2.85)	2.04 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daegu 2
28%

Draw
26.6%

Pocheon
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

30.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daegu 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daegu 2's form might have worsened.

Pocheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pocheon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daegu 2 than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daegu 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pocheon than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pocheon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Daegu 2 - Pocheon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Park Ho-Young ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Jeon Yong-Jun ⚽,
22', 1 - 2, Park Ho-Young ⚽,
43', 2 - 2, Kim Y. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone K3 League (Relegation) and 13).

Daegu 2 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pocheon is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Daegu 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pocheon will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daegu 2
South Korean K3 League
19.05.24	Gyeongju KH&NP - Daegu 2	3:0 ✺
12.05.24	Daegu 2 - Busan Kyotong	4:2 ✺
04.05.24	Chuncheon - Daegu 2	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Daegu 2 - Paju Frontier	2:4 ✺
20.04.24	Daegu 2 - Siheung	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTLL
- FC Pocheon
South Korean K3 League
18.05.24	Busan Kyotong - Pocheon	2:1 ✺
03.05.24	Daejeon Korail - Pocheon	4:0 ✺
27.04.24	Pocheon - Gimhae	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Hwaseong - Pocheon	1:4 ✺
13.04.24	Pocheon - Changwon City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLTWT

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