Match Info

K3 League - Round 23

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Daejeon World Cup Stadium (Daejeon)


	Daejeon Korail		Yeoju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.3	3.95	Watch
	1.96	3.4	3.87
	2.13	3.08	3.61	Watch
	1.81	3.3	4.13
	1.99	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.05)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)	3.76 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daejeon Korail
47.4%

Draw
28.2%

Yeoju
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.8%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

27.6%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daejeon Korail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Yeoju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Korail than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeoju than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Daejeon Korail - Yeoju Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Lee S. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 1 - 2, ⚽,
59', 1 - 3, ⚽,
66', 2 - 3, ⚽,
78', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 11).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Daejeon Korail may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Daejeon Korail is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Daejeon Korail won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).

Including home match between the teams, Daejeon Korail won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daejeon Korail
South Korean K3 League
31.08.25	Changwon City - Daejeon Korail	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Daejeon Korail - Chuncheon	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Paju Frontier - Daejeon Korail	1:2 ✺
25.07.25	Gangneung - Daejeon Korail	4:3 ✺
20.07.25	Daejeon Korail - Gimhae	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLWLT
- Yeoju FC
South Korean K3 League
31.08.25	Yeoju - Ulsan Citizen	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Yangpyeong - Yeoju	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Yeoju - Pocheon	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	Yeoju - Siheung	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Mokpo City - Yeoju	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
09.05.25	Yeoju - Daejeon Korail	0:3
15.09.24	Yeoju - Daejeon Korail	2:2
17.05.24	Daejeon Korail - Yeoju	3:1
South Korean Cup
09.05.20	Yeoju - Daejeon Korail	1:3

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