Match Info

National League South - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Victoria Road (London)


	Dagenham & Redbridge		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.25	2.62
	2.43	3.51	2.68	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.63
	2.42	3.2	2.6
	2.37	3.33	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.37)	3.28 ↓ (3.52)	2.65 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dagenham & Redbridge
37.7%

Draw
27.8%

Hornchurch
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26.4%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.6%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dagenham & Redbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Dagenham & Redbridge - Hornchurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Phillips G. ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, Sandat H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 2, Leech S. ⚽,
76', Maghoma C. 🟥,
90', 2 - 2, Lusala D. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 3, Rees J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Dagenham is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Hornchurch has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hornchurch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hornchurch has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Dagenham & Redbridge - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.2%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League South
20.12.25	Tonbridge Angels - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:2 ✺
16.12.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Slough Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Hanwell Town	3:1 ✺
English National League South
29.11.25	Totton - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:5 ✺
25.11.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Chesham United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTWWW
- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
20.12.25	Hornchurch - Enfield Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Dover Athletic - Hornchurch	1:4 ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Maidenhead United - Hornchurch	2:0 ✺
02.12.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hornchurch	0:4 ✺
29.11.25	Worthing - Hornchurch	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLWL

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