Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 33

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Victoria Road (London)


	Dagenham & Redbridge		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	6
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.38	4.75	7.5
	1.37	4.59	6.8
	1.42	4.73	7.5
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.36	4.75	7.55
	1.34	4.7	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.59)	4.65 ↑ (4.25)	6.79 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dagenham & Redbridge
66.7%

Draw
19.8%

Oxford City
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

21.7%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

21.3%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dagenham & Redbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dagenham & Redbridge's performance.

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oxford City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dagenham & Redbridge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oxford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dagenham & Redbridge - Oxford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Justham E. (C) 20. Appiah-Forson K. 5. Eastman T. 9. Effiong I. 6. Hessenthaler J. 10. Hill R. 19. Ling S. 12. Pereira D. 8. Rees J. 4. Tavares N. 7. Vincent F.	13. Brzozowski M. (G) 4. Ashby J. 25. Birtwistle H. 7. Coyle L. 28. Crocker P. 8. Fleet R. (C) 11. Greenslade H. 20. Humphrey-Ewers L. 3. Phillips G. 6. Roddy J. 18. William-Bushell A.
Substitutes
3. Johnson E. 17. Kedwell H. 16. Phipps H. 11. Remy S. 24. Sears F.	2. Burley A. 5. Kirby N. 27. Lumeka L. 16. Potter A. 15. Smith R.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Dagenham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oxford City is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oxford City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dagenham is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dagenham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League
06.02.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Chesterfield	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Rochdale - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:2 ✺
30.01.24	Solihull Moors - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
23.01.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTLW
- Oxford City
English National League
06.02.24	Woking - Oxford City	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Oxford City	3:2 ✺
27.01.24	Oxford City - Ebbsfleet United	1:0 ✺
23.01.24	Oxford City - York City	1:2 ✺
06.01.24	Hartlepool United - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
16.09.23	Oxford City - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:0

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