Match Info

League Two - Promotion Group - Round 27

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Dalian Football Youth Training Base Stadium (Dalian) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	16:00	Migu


	Dalian Kewei		Guizhou Guiyang Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.50	2.80	2.70
	2.35	2.85	2.95	Watch
	2.69	2.83	2.90
	2.42	2.81	3.15	Watch
	2.65	2.60	2.85
	2.66	3.03	2.74
	2.50	2.85	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.24)	2.82 ↓ (2.97)	2.85 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Kewei
35.8%

Draw
32.2%

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
31.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

31%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

29.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Kewei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dalian Kewei's form might have worsened.

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kewei than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dalian Kewei, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Dalian Kewei - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zhang Chong (G) 2. Zhang Zhen 35. Wang Peng (C) 5. Fu Yuncheng 14. Li Zhen 27. Li Yang 18. Yao Xuchen 31. Peyzullah Bahtiyar 9. Liu Zhizhi 20. Zhang Xianbing 39. Zhang Dachi	23. Chen J. (G) 33. Feng Yifan 35. Lu Wentao 27. Zhang Wentao (C) 21. Hu Mingtian 8. Sun Enming 32. Wang Haozhi 41. Jinghang Z. 22. Kong Yinquan 17. Zheng Shengxiong 7. Liu Yujie
Substitutes
25. Fang Peicheng 11. Ge Yuxiang 37. Huang Jianming 23. Liu Hongchen 6. Liu Xiaolong 12. Li Wuze 26. Lu C. 17. Shi Kaiyu 13. Yan Xiaoyu (G) 3. Yu Yanhao 30. Yu Zeyuan 19. Zhang Huajun	44. Cai Zhuohao 10. Chen Chenzhenyang 28. Chen Long 16. Lai Yanglong 11. Liao Chongjiu 57. Li Xi'nan 42. Luo Wenqi 24. Wu Zhongcan 29. Xu Jiajun 37. Yang Youxian 31. Yan H. (G) 20. Zhou Z.
Coaches
Xu Hui	Cespedes O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Zhang Dachi ⚽, Li Yang (A),
12', 2 - 0, Zhang Dachi ⚽, Zhang Xianbing (A),
18', Peyzullah Bahtiyar 🟨,
21', Feng Yifan ↓, Chen Long ↑,
31', Zhang Dachi 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zheng Shengxiong ↓, Liao Chongjiu ↑,
46', Liu Zhizhi ↓, Ge Yuxiang ↑,
46', Jinghang Z. ↓, Luo Wenqi ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Liu Yujie ⚽, Liao Chongjiu (A),
55', Li Yang 🟨,
59', Hu Mingtian ↓, Cai Zhuohao ↑,
60', Zhang Zhen ↓, Li Wuze ↑,
60', Yao Xuchen ↓, Zhang Huajun ↑,
68', Wang Haozhi ↓, Xu Jiajun ↑,
82', Kong Yinquan 🟨,
87', Li Zhen ↓, Lu C. ↑,
90+2', Zhang Dachi ↓, Yu Yanhao ↑,

Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Dalian Kewei has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Dalian Kewei	28	12	13	3	29:18	11	49
5	Guizhou Guiyang	28	15	4	9	37:23	14	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Kewei
Chinese Yi League
12.10.26	Dalian Kewei - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	2:2 ✺
07.10.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Dalian Kewei	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Dalian Kewei - Shenzhen 2028	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Dalian Kewei	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Changchun Xidu - Dalian Kewei	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWTWL
- Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
Chinese Yi League
11.10.26	Shandong Taishan B - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	1:1 ✺
06.10.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Shanghai Port B	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Dalian Kewei	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
12.09.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Dalian Kewei	0:1

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