Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 19

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Loudi Sports Center (Loudi)


	Hunan Billows		Dalian Kun City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.55
				Watch
	2.56	2.97	2.74
	2.59	2.98	2.73	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.6
	2.51	3.02	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.4)	3.05 ↑ (3.04)	2.65 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hunan Billows
36.3%

Draw
29.6%

Dalian Kun City
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29.8%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

29.7%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hunan Billows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Dalian Kun City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hunan Billows than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Hunan Billows - Dalian Kun City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bai S. (G) 22. Tursun Qeyser 16. Liu Jing 8. Zimin Nuali 6. Chen Ao 2. Hu Yongfa 27. Zu Pengchao 25. Li Chenguang 23. Liao Haochuan 53. Yu B. 32. Wang B.	16. Wang Zhuo (G) 32. Song Chen 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 2. Geng Xiaoshun 6. Ge Hailun 23. Yin Lu 49. Yan Shoukuan 8. Han Xu 10. Zhu Shiyu 21. Chen Rong 9. Zhou Bingxu
Substitutes
28. Dong Jianhong (G) 37. Geng Zhiqing 20. Halimurat Kamiran 14. Han Dong 13. Iskandar B. 5. Jiang Zhe 17. Liao Wei 19. Liu Xinyu 35. Li Xiaoting 45. Lu Y. 21. Lu Yuefeng 51. Yin R.	55. Ali M. 26. Cai Haochen (G) 37. Chen Jiaqi 25. Cong Zhen 28. Cui Hao 4. Liu J. 40. Liu Zhizhi 14. Li Xudong 31. Peyzullah Bahtiyar 18. Ren W. 17. Yang Fan 60. Zhong Ziqin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Chen Ao 🟨,
36', Zhu Shiyu 🟨,
36', Zimin Nuali 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zhu Shiyu ↓, Cui Hao ↑,
58', Zhou Bingxu ↓, Chen Jiaqi ↑,
58', Zhai Zhaoyu ↓, Ren W. ↑,
62', Ren W. 🟨,
65', Chen Ao ↓, Lu Yuefeng ↑,
72', Zimin Nuali ↓, Han Dong ↑,
72', Yu B. ↓, Yin R. ↑,
72', Tursun Qeyser ↓, Jiang Zhe ↑,
83', Yan Shoukuan ↓, Ali M. ↑,
86', Zu Pengchao ↓, Liao Wei ↑,
86', Chen Rong ↓, Liu Zhizhi ↑,
90+3', Han Xu ↓, Cong Zhen ↑,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hunan Billows
Chinese Yi League
27.07.24	Hunan Billows - Shenzhen Juniors	0:3 ✺
20.07.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Hunan Billows	1:1 ✺
13.07.24	Hunan Billows - Kunming City	2:2 ✺
07.07.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Hunan Billows	2:3 ✺
29.06.24	Hunan Billows - Wenzhou Professional	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTWT
- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Yi League
28.07.24	Dalian Kun City - Shaanxi Union	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Taian Tiankuang - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
14.07.24	Dalian Kun City - Nantong Haimen Codion	3:0 ✺
06.07.24	Hubei Istar - Dalian Kun City	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWWL

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