Match Info
NPL Victoria - Round 16Date: 5 June 2026, FridayLocation: Frank Holohan Soccer Complex (Dandenong)
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Dandenong City |
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Heidelberg United |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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4.40 |
3.80 |
1.65 |
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4.25 |
3.75 |
1.62 |
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4.41 |
3.95 |
1.67 |
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4.38 |
4.15 |
1.67 |
Watch |
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4.33 |
3.6 |
1.67 |
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4.47 |
3.8 |
1.63 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.37 ↓
(5.51) |
3.84 ↓
(4.27) |
1.65 ↑
(1.49) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dandenong City
20.9% | Draw
23.8% | Heidelberg United
55.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dandenong City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Heidelberg United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heidelberg United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong City than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidelberg United than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heidelberg United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 44', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 68', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 77', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 87', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dandenong City won 1.Dandenong City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Heidelberg United is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, Heidelberg United is considered a favorite.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Dandenong City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:38. (average 1.2:2.9).Including home matches between the teams, Dandenong City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 1.2:3).
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Heidelberg Utd | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 30 |
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| 9 | Dandenong City | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 18 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL Victoria | | | 27.02.26 | Heidelberg United - Dandenong City | 1:2 | | 14.09.25 | Heidelberg United - Dandenong City | 2:1 | | 27.06.25 | Heidelberg United - Dandenong City | 2:2 | | 21.03.25 | Dandenong City - Heidelberg United | 0:2 | | 18.08.24 | Heidelberg United - Dandenong City | 3:0 | | 10.05.24 | Dandenong City - Heidelberg United | 1:3 | | 24.07.22 | Heidelberg United - Dandenong City | 5:1 |
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✺ - difficult match;
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