Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 9

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Dandenong Thunder		Port Melbourne Sharks

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	4.1	4.8
	1.43	4.3	6	Watch
	1.48	4.61	5.82	Watch
	1.44	4.25	5.9	Watch
	1.43	4.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.4)	4.31 ↓ (4.74)	5.7 ↓ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dandenong Thunder
62.6%

Draw
21.3%

Port Melbourne Sharks
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

19.3%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

18.5%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dandenong Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Port Melbourne Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dandenong Thunder, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Melbourne Sharks than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Dandenong Thunder - Port Melbourne Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Romanovski J. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Jalloh H. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Pharoe D. ⚽,
57', 3 - 1, Taylor K. ⚽,
61', 4 - 1, Dekker W. ⚽,
69', 5 - 1, Jalloh H. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dandenong Thunder won 1.

Dandenong Thunder is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Port Melbourne is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Dandenong Thunder is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dandenong Thunder to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Dandenong Thunder won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13:29 (average 0.9:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Dandenong Thunder won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:16 (average 1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dandenong Thunder
Australian NPL Victoria
28.03.25	Oakleigh Cannons - Dandenong Thunder	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Dandenong Thunder - Avondale	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Dandenong Thunder - South Melbourne	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Dandenong Thunder - Heidelberg United	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Altona Magic - Dandenong Thunder	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 LWWWW
- Port Melbourne Sharks
Australian NPL Victoria
28.03.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Preston Lions	3:2 ✺
23.03.25	St Albans Dinamo - Port Melbourne Sharks	3:0 ✺
14.03.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Melbourne Victory Youth	0:3 ✺
09.03.25	Melbourne Knights - Port Melbourne Sharks	3:0 ✺
28.02.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Green Gully	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
13.07.24	Dandenong Thunder - Port Melbourne Sharks	3:1
13.04.24	Port Melbourne Sharks - Dandenong Thunder	3:0
24.06.23	Port Melbourne Sharks - Dandenong Thunder	0:0
25.03.23	Dandenong Thunder - Port Melbourne Sharks	2:6
18.06.22	Dandenong Thunder - Port Melbourne Sharks	0:2
19.03.22	Port Melbourne Sharks - Dandenong Thunder	1:0
25.06.21	Port Melbourne Sharks - Dandenong Thunder	2:2

Dandenong Thunder - Port Melbourne Sharks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide