Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 12

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Jack Edwards Reserve (Melbourne)


	Oakleigh Cannons		Dandenong Thunder

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.33	4.75	6.9
	1.34	5.2	7.5
	1.47	3.87	7.38	Watch
	1.33	4.8	7
	1.33	5.45	7.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.43)	4.81 ↑ (4.38)	7.25 ↑ (6.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oakleigh Cannons
68%

Draw
19.2%

Dandenong Thunder
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

20.9%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

19.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oakleigh Cannons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Dandenong Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oakleigh Cannons than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Oakleigh Cannons - Dandenong Thunder Predictions

Users Predictions: Oakleigh Cannons will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oakleigh won 2.

Oakleigh has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Dandenong Thunder has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Oakleigh is the team to beat.

We predict that Oakleigh will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Oakleigh won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:27. (average 2.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Oakleigh won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:12. (average 2.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oakleigh Cannons
Australian NPL Victoria
01.05.26	Green Gully - Oakleigh Cannons	0:5 ✺
24.04.26	Oakleigh Cannons - Bentleigh Greens	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	South Melbourne - Oakleigh Cannons	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Oakleigh Cannons - Hume City	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Avondale - Oakleigh Cannons	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWT
- Dandenong Thunder
Australian NPL Victoria
02.05.26	Dandenong Thunder - Preston Lions	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Dandenong City - Dandenong Thunder	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Altona Magic - Dandenong Thunder	2:4 ✺
11.04.26	Dandenong Thunder - Green Gully	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Bentleigh Greens - Dandenong Thunder	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
05.07.25	Dandenong Thunder - Oakleigh Cannons	3:3
28.03.25	Oakleigh Cannons - Dandenong Thunder	3:1
15.06.24	Dandenong Thunder - Oakleigh Cannons	3:1
01.04.24	Oakleigh Cannons - Dandenong Thunder	1:1
02.06.23	Oakleigh Cannons - Dandenong Thunder	2:1
04.03.23	Dandenong Thunder - Oakleigh Cannons	1:2
04.06.22	Dandenong Thunder - Oakleigh Cannons	0:0

Oakleigh Cannons - Dandenong Thunder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide