Match Info

K3 League - Round 18

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday


	Dangjin Citizen		Mokpo City

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.50	3.90
	1.88	3.25	3.60	Watch
	1.77	3.88	4.40
	1.87	3.51	3.76	Watch
	1.74	3.80	4.15
	1.77	3.64	4.37
	1.73	3.60	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.95)	3.6 ↑ (3.28)	4.04 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dangjin Citizen
51.6%

Draw
25.6%

Mokpo City
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

27.5%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dangjin Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dangjin Citizen's performance.

Mokpo City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dangjin Citizen than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mokpo City than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dangjin Citizen - Mokpo City Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dangjin Citizen will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dangjin Citizen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
52', 3 - 1, ⚽,
72', 4 - 1, ⚽,
74', 5 - 1, ⚽,
90', 6 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 13).

Dangjin Citizen is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mokpo City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mokpo City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dangjin Citizen is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dangjin Citizen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Dangjin Citizen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Dangjin Citizen	23	9	4	10	46:39	7	31
12	Mokpo	23	5	9	9	22:36	-14	24

Last Results with these Odds

Mokpo City - the odds 3.42 are the expected chance of winning is 26.33%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dangjin Citizen
South Korean K3 League
18.07.26	Dangjin Citizen - Jeonbuk 2	2:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Yongin - Dangjin Citizen	0:2 ✺
South Korean K3 League
11.07.26	Dangjin Citizen - Pocheon	1:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
04.07.26	Haman - Dangjin Citizen	0:2 AET ✺
South Korean K3 League
28.06.26	Dangjin Citizen - Gangneung	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWTWW
- Mokpo City FC
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Cheonan City - Mokpo City	2:1 ✺
South Korean K3 League
11.07.26	Mokpo City - Gangneung	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Ulsan Citizen - Mokpo City	4:1 ✺
20.06.26	Changwon City - Mokpo City	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Mokpo City - Yangpyeong	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
04.04.26	Mokpo City - Dangjin Citizen	1:3
04.09.22	Dangjin Citizen - Mokpo City	3:1
07.05.22	Mokpo City - Dangjin Citizen	1:0

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