Match Info

K3 League - Round 16

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Ulsan Complex Stadium (Ulsan)


	Ulsan Citizen		Mokpo City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.30
	2.32	2.88	3	Watch
	2.45	2.89	3.09
	2.38	2.95	3.05	Watch
	2.4	2.8	3
	2.31	2.98	3
	2.32	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.05)	2.91 ↓ (3.1)	3.06 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan Citizen
39.2%

Draw
31.2%

Mokpo City
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

29.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Mokpo City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulsan Citizen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mokpo City than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Ulsan Citizen - Mokpo City Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ulsan Citizen will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, ⚽,
77', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Citizen won 3.

Ulsan Citizen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mokpo City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Citizen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan Citizen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ulsan Citizen	23	8	4	11	24:26	-2	28
12	Mokpo	23	5	9	9	22:36	-14	24

Last Results with these Odds

Mokpo City - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 26.92%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
20.06.26	Dangjin Citizen - Ulsan Citizen	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Ulsan Citizen - Gangneung	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Pocheon	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Changwon City - Ulsan Citizen	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Yangpyeong	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLLT
- Mokpo City FC
South Korean K3 League
20.06.26	Changwon City - Mokpo City	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Mokpo City - Yangpyeong	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Siheung - Mokpo City	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Daejeon Korail - Mokpo City	3:0 ✺
17.05.26	Mokpo City - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
21.03.26	Mokpo City - Ulsan Citizen	1:2
21.09.25	Mokpo City - Ulsan Citizen	1:2
23.05.25	Ulsan Citizen - Mokpo City	1:0
14.07.24	Ulsan Citizen - Mokpo City	0:2
30.03.24	Mokpo City - Ulsan Citizen	1:0
02.09.23	Ulsan Citizen - Mokpo City	1:1
06.05.23	Mokpo City - Ulsan Citizen	3:0

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