Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Danubio		Plaza Colonia

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.35
	1.82	3.3	5.23
	1.91	3.00	4.38	Watch
	1.74	3.33	5.19	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.89)	3.17 ↑ (3.16)	4.67 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danubio
51%

Draw
29.2%

Plaza Colonia
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

29.2%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

28.8%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Danubio - Plaza Colonia Predictions

Users Predictions: Danubio will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Danubio will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goicoechea M. (C) 7. Pintos I. 23. Gonzalez M. 2. Velazquez E. 6. Sosa L. 35. Pais N. 18. Mayada C. 10. Peralta M. 28. Femia E. 9. Nunez S. 30. Fernandez S.	25. Silva J. (G) 19. Wurth V. 18. Cayetano A. 16. Velazquez M. 17. Otegui S. 15. Meite Y. 3. Calleros Y. (C) 77. Acosta B. 80. Carrizo L. 10. Ocampo A. 9. Alex Bruno
Substitutes
27. Arguello M. 22. Brandao 16. Cabrera F. 38. Cardozo E. 15. Figueroa E. 20. Gonzalez M. (G) 21. Lopez M. 8. Rabino R. 19. Romero S. 33. Sanchez V.	27. Barros C. 21. Hernandez J. P. 2. Lorenzi M. 30. Maidana A. 5. Pachame S. 23. Piriz F. 44. Pisciottano M. 20. Redin E. 6. Redin M.
Coaches
Matosas G.	Mena L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Meite Y. 🟨,
30', Carrizo L. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Peralta M. ⚽,
38', Pais N. 🟨,
43', Ocampo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Acosta B. ↓, Maidana A. ↑,
46', Alex Bruno ↓, Barros C. ↑,
53', Mayada C. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Femia E. ⚽,
62', Meite Y. ↓, Piriz F. ↑,
71', Fernandez S. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
75', Femia E. ↓, Figueroa E. ↑,
75', Pais N. ↓, Romero S. ↑,
75', Peralta M. ↓, Sanchez V. ↑,
82', Gonzalez M. ↓, Cabrera F. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Danubio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Danubio is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.11.25	Racing Montevideo - Danubio	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Danubio - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	Boston River - Danubio	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Danubio - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLTTL
- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.11.25	Plaza Colonia - Cerro Largo	0:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
29.10.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.10.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Plaza Colonia	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
16.10.25	Racing Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
19.05.25	Plaza Colonia - Danubio	1:2
08.10.23	Plaza Colonia - Danubio	1:0
26.02.23	Danubio - Plaza Colonia	5:0
13.09.22	Danubio - Plaza Colonia	1:1
21.07.22	Danubio - Plaza Colonia	2:0
09.04.22	Plaza Colonia - Danubio	1:1
10.02.21	Plaza Colonia - Danubio	3:0

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