Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Roberto (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Racing Montevideo		Danubio

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.88	2.7	Watch
	2.55	2.85	2.8
	2.58	2.92	2.72
	2.94	3	2.67
	2.67	3.05	2.77	Watch
	2.63	2.8	2.8
	2.69	2.96	2.78	Watch
	3	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.63)	2.92 ↓ (2.98)	2.73 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Montevideo
34.4%

Draw
31.7%

Danubio
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

30.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Racing Montevideo - Danubio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Machado F. (G) 4. Cotugno G. (C) 3. Brazionis 14. Alvarez F. 17. Ferreira M. 16. Da Silva E. 8. Cairus F. 24. Perez J. 39. Vazquez A. 26. Da Silva S. 18. Habib T.	1. Goicoechea M. (C) 40. Balatti F. 3. Pereyra J. 2. Velazquez E. 31. Cavanagh T. 18. Mayada C. 8. Rodriguez S. 10. Peralta M. 20. Ferreira M. 30. Fernandez S. 21. Azambuja N.
Substitutes
40. Atum A. 5. Bosca J. . De Los Santos E. 29. Gonzalez F. 81. Manzur I. 37. Oyarzo Y. 2. Parada F. 11. Suarez F. 77. Tomatis B. 12. Varese F. (G)	. Cabrera E. 28. Femia E. 15. Figueroa E. 32. Martinez K. (G) 5. Millan J. 25. Montana A. 4. Rinaldi M. 16. Rossi I. 6. Sosa L. 17. Velazquez A.
Coaches
Chambian C.	Monarriz D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Da Silva S. (Penalty Awarded),
25', Velazquez E. ↓, Rinaldi M. ↑,
28', 1 - 0, Habib T. ⚽,
35', Perez J. 🟨,
36', Da Silva S. ↓, Manzur I. ↑,
44', Manzur I. 🟨,
44', De Los Santos E. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Balatti F. ↓, Rossi I. ↑,
46', Perez J. ↓, Bosca J. ↑,
62', Cotugno G. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
62', Cavanagh T. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
65', Bosca J. 🟨,
67', Habib T. ↓, Oyarzo Y. ↑,
67', Da Silva E. ↓, Suarez F. ↑,
73', Rodriguez S. ↓, Sosa L. ↑,
73', Mayada C. ↓, Femia E. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Oyarzo Y. ⚽,
77', 3 - 0, Manzur I. ⚽,
81', 4 - 0, Vazquez A. ⚽,
83', Ferreira M. 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.

Recent performances by Racing have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Racing Montevideo	9	3	3	3	9:8	1	12
13	Danubio	9	1	4	4	4:10	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Montevideo - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.96%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Danubio - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.2%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.02.26	Nacional Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Racing Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	2:4 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
19.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
19.01.26	Racing Montevideo - Universidad de Concepción	Canceled ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
14.01.26	Racing Montevideo - Cerro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLL?W
- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.02.26	Danubio - Boston River	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Cerro - Danubio	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
12.01.26	Boston River - Danubio	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.11.25	Danubio - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Racing Montevideo - Danubio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
02.11.25	Racing Montevideo - Danubio	1:2
18.06.25	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	1:2
03.05.25	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	0:0
17.11.24	Racing Montevideo - Danubio	0:0
19.05.24	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	0:1
14.10.23	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	0:2
03.03.23	Racing Montevideo - Danubio	1:1

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