Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Referee: Feres J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cerro		Danubio

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.75	2.25	Watch
	3.2	2.85	2.3
	3.4	2.88	2.25
	3.84	2.92	2.27
	3.55	2.75	2.39	Watch
	3.6	2.75	2.2
	3.81	2.75	2.26	Watch
	3.75	2.83	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.3)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)	2.27 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro
25.8%

Draw
33.2%

Danubio
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

31.1%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Cerro - Danubio Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Danubio will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cerro (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 23. Farias M. 16. Guasone J. 20. Butti F. 17. Rodriguez G. 5. Macelli A. 31. Amaro J. 35. Nongoy P. 29. Paiva S. 9. Morales B. 27. Barros C.	1. Goicoechea M. (G) 40. Balatti F. 3. Pereyra J. 2. Velazquez E. 4. Cavanagh T. 8. Rodriguez S. 18. Mayada C. 10. Peralta M. 20. Ferreira M. 30. Fernandez S. 21. Azambuja N.
Substitutes
. Aleman B. 32. Bregante F. 12. Capdevilla T. (G) 2. Lima A. 24. Mederos R. . Mendez A. 8. Miranda A. 18. Sena N. . Soria N. . Valenzuela I.	7. Cabrera E. 9. Costantino I. 28. Femia E. 15. Figueroa E. 32. Martinez K. (G) 5. Millan J. 25. Montana A. . Rinaldi M. 6. Sosa L. 17. Velazquez A.
Coaches
Abeijon N.	Monarriz D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Amaro J. 🟨,
15', Macelli A. 🟨,
18', Peralta M. 🟨,
26', Barros C. 🟨,
45', Cavanagh T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Barros C. 🟨,
55', Morales B. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
65', Cavanagh T. ↓, Sosa L. ↑,
65', Fernandez S. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
65', Peralta M. ↓, Femia E. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Ferreira M. ⚽,
67', Amaro J. ↓, Mederos R. ↑,
76', Paiva S. ↓, Sena N. ↑,
76', Macelli A. ↓, Aleman B. ↑,
88', Guasone J. ↓, Valenzuela I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 1.

Danubio could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.2:0.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CA Cerro	9	4	2	3	9:11	-2	14
13	Danubio	9	1	4	4	4:10	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Cerro - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.17%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
14.01.26	Racing Montevideo - Cerro	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.11.25	Cerro - Boston River	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Cerro - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Montevideo City Torque - Cerro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.6 LTTWW
- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
12.01.26	Boston River - Danubio	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.11.25	Danubio - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Racing Montevideo - Danubio	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Danubio - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	Boston River - Danubio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
14.09.25	Danubio - Cerro	5:1
23.03.25	Cerro - Danubio	1:1
14.11.24	Danubio - Cerro	0:0
22.06.24	Cerro - Danubio	0:0
11.05.24	Cerro - Danubio	2:0
19.10.23	Cerro - Danubio	1:1
12.03.23	Danubio - Cerro	1:0

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