The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Danubio 35.2%
Draw 30.8%
Peñarol de Montevideo 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
30.6%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
29.2%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Danubio's performance.
Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peñarol de Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Danubio that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peñarol de Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Rodriguez G. (Own goal),
80', 1 - 1, Peralta M. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Danubio (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Peñarol is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Peñarol is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Danubio has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:32 (averaging 0.4:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Danubio against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with 4:19 goals (averaging 0.4:1.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Danubio - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 28.4%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Peñarol de Montevideo - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 40.96%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
South-america
Uruguay
Watch
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