Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 23

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Gloucester City		Darlington

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.15	3.4	2.75
	2.2	3.6	2.85
	2.23	3.63	3
	2.23	3.63	3
	2.05	3.4	3
	2.17	3.55	2.95
	2.16	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.96)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	2.94 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
42.5%

Draw
26.2%

Darlington
31.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46%

26.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

25.4%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloucester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Gloucester City - Darlington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gloucester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gloucester will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
12.12.23	Gloucester City - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Chippenham Town - Gloucester City	5:3 ✺
English National League North
25.11.23	Gloucester City - Spennymoor Town	4:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Gloucester City - Braintree Town	3:0 ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Brackley Town - Gloucester City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLWWL
- Darlington FC
English National League North
25.11.23	Darlington - Rushall Olympic	1:1 ✺
21.11.23	Darlington - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Scunthorpe United - Darlington	2:0 ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Chorley - Darlington	8:0 ✺
11.11.23	Darlington - Chester	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
23.09.23	Darlington - Gloucester City	1:1
10.12.22	Gloucester City - Darlington	2:6
06.08.22	Darlington - Gloucester City	3:1
19.02.22	Gloucester City - Darlington	2:2
20.11.21	Darlington - Gloucester City	2:2
06.02.21	Darlington - Gloucester City	Canceled
04.01.20	Darlington - Gloucester City	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
31.10.26	Spalding United - Darlington	✺

Gloucester City - Darlington