Match Info
FA Cup - Qualification - FinalDate: 11 October 2025, SaturdayLocation: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)
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Darlington |
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AFC Telford United |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Darlington
20.6% | Draw
19.6% | AFC Telford United
59.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darlington's form might have worsened.AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Telford United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+23.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darlington, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-28.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Telford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Darlington - AFC Telford United Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 4)
- 8', 0 - 1, Hadley-Allen D. ⚽,
- 27', 0 - 2, Stenson M. ⚽,
- 33', 0 - 3, (Own goal),
- 34', 0 - 4, Stenson M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 71', 0 - 5, George A. ⚽,
- 84', 0 - 6, George A. ⚽,
Preview
Replayed if draw.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 3.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Telford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Darlington could have a small edge in this match.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.6:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Darlington won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League North | | | 25.08.25 | Darlington - AFC Telford United | 2:2 | | 04.02.23 | Darlington - AFC Telford United | 3:1 | | 01.11.22 | AFC Telford United - Darlington | 1:4 | | 22.01.22 | AFC Telford United - Darlington | 5:0 | | 02.10.21 | Darlington - AFC Telford United | 3:0 | | English FA Trophy | | | 19.12.20 | Darlington - AFC Telford United | 3:2 penalties | | English National League North | | | 14.11.20 | Darlington - AFC Telford United | 1:2 |
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