Match Info

National League North - Round 44

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Peterborough Sports		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	4.2
	1.65	3.4	4.5
	1.72	3.65	4.5
	1.71	3.75	4.62
	1.73	3.69	4.62	Watch
	1.71	3.93	4.35
	1.72	3.65	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.88)	3.7 ↑ (3.5)	4.47 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough Sports
54.4%

Draw
25%

Needham Market
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

25.7%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

22.1%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough Sports's performance.

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Needham Market might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Sports than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough Sports that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Needham Market could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Peterborough Sports - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Collis T. 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Kaine F. ⚽,
79', 2 - 0, Gyasi M. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Needham is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peterborough Sports won 2.

Recent matches Peterborough Sports is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Needham is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Peterborough Sports could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Peterborough Sports is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Peterborough Sports won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 0.9:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough Sports won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 0.8:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough Sports FC
English National League North
12.04.25	Alfreton Town - Peterborough Sports	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Peterborough Sports - Leamington	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Peterborough Sports	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Marine - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Peterborough Sports - Darlington	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLW
- Needham Market
English National League North
12.04.25	Needham Market - Rushall Olympic	1:0 ✺
01.04.25	Needham Market - Curzon Ashton	2:3 ✺
29.03.25	Needham Market - Buxton	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Needham Market	4:1 ✺
18.03.25	Spennymoor Town - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
01.01.25	Needham Market - Peterborough Sports	1:2
English FA Cup
03.10.23	Needham Market - Peterborough Sports	3:0
30.09.23	Peterborough Sports - Needham Market	0:0
English Southern League Central Division
05.03.22	Peterborough Sports - Needham Market	3:0
04.01.22	Needham Market - Peterborough Sports	1:1
07.03.20	Peterborough Sports - Needham Market	0:0
22.10.19	Needham Market - Peterborough Sports	2:1

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