Match Info

National League North - Round 43

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Needham Market		Rushall Olympic

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3
	2.05	3.3	3
	2.13	3.45	3.15
	2.17	3.47	3.17
	2.14	3.38	3.13
	2.13	3.45	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.29)	3.43 ↑ (3.41)	3.1 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
43.4%

Draw
26.9%

Rushall Olympic
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.1%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

27.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Rushall Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rushall Olympic than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Needham Market - Rushall Olympic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Ingram L. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Needham won 0.

Needham is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rushall is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Needham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Needham will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Needham won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:12 (average 0.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Needham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.8:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Rushall Olympic - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.55%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English National League North
01.04.25	Needham Market - Curzon Ashton	2:3 ✺
29.03.25	Needham Market - Buxton	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Needham Market	4:1 ✺
18.03.25	Spennymoor Town - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Needham Market - Chorley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLLW
- Rushall Olympic
English National League North
05.04.25	Alfreton Town - Rushall Olympic	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Rushall Olympic - South Shields	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Darlington - Rushall Olympic	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Rushall Olympic - Southport	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Rushall Olympic - Hereford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
05.11.24	Rushall Olympic - Needham Market	1:1
English Southern League Central Division
07.01.23	Rushall Olympic - Needham Market	1:0
27.08.22	Needham Market - Rushall Olympic	0:2
19.02.22	Rushall Olympic - Needham Market	4:1
23.10.21	Needham Market - Rushall Olympic	1:2
16.11.19	Needham Market - Rushall Olympic	1:1
30.03.19	Rushall Olympic - Needham Market	0:1

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