Match Info

National League North - Round 11

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Peterborough Sports

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.1
	2.02	3.65	3.1
	1.99	3.98	3.23
	2.03	3.57	3.28	Watch
	1.99	3.6	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.9)	3.68 ↑ (3.5)	3.17 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
46%

Draw
25%

Peterborough Sports
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

25.8%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

25%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Peterborough Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Sports than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Darlington - Peterborough Sports Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Darlington (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Darlington will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Rutledge A. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, McGowan W. ⚽,
18', 2 - 1, Miller L. ⚽,
32', 3 - 1, Rutledge A. (Pen),
35', 4 - 1, Lees T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 4 - 2, Jarvis D. ⚽,
90+3', 5 - 2, Cornish M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Peterborough Sports has had a series of away games.

Darlington will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Darlington won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Peterborough Sports - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.59%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	United of Manchester - Darlington	3:2 ✺
English National League North
08.11.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Darlington	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Darlington - Worksop Town	5:1 ✺
01.11.25	Merthyr Town - Darlington	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Darlington - Southport	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWLW
- Peterborough Sports FC
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Oxford City - Peterborough Sports	1:2 ✺
English National League North
08.11.25	Spennymoor Town - Peterborough Sports	1:0 ✺
04.11.25	Macclesfield Town - Peterborough Sports	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Peterborough Sports - Chorley	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Southport - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
15.03.25	Peterborough Sports - Darlington	4:1
12.11.24	Darlington - Peterborough Sports	2:2
16.03.24	Darlington - Peterborough Sports	1:0
07.11.23	Peterborough Sports - Darlington	2:0
29.04.23	Peterborough Sports - Darlington	0:1
24.09.22	Darlington - Peterborough Sports	2:0

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