Match Info

National League North - Round 15

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Peterborough Sports		Chorley

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2
	3.25	3.5	2.02
	3.58	3.54	1.94	Watch
	3.29	3.59	2.06
	3.2	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.58)	3.55 ↑ (3.54)	2 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough Sports
27.9%

Draw
26%

Chorley
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

26.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

25.6%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Sports than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+3%)

Peterborough Sports - Chorley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Miller L. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Carr T. ⚽,
42', Henley A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, Jarvis D. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough Sports won 0.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Chorley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chorley is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Peterborough Sports won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough Sports won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough Sports FC
English National League North
28.10.25	Southport - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Curzon Ashton - Peterborough Sports	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Peterborough Sports - Buxton	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Peterborough Sports - Alfreton Town	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Peterborough Sports - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLTW
- Chorley
English National League North
25.10.25	Chorley - Merthyr Town	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Southport - Chorley	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Buxton - Chorley	3:2 ✺
11.10.25	Chorley - Oxford City	3:3 ✺
04.10.25	South Shields - Chorley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
14.01.25	Chorley - Peterborough Sports	0:0
10.08.24	Peterborough Sports - Chorley	0:1
20.04.24	Peterborough Sports - Chorley	1:3
11.11.23	Chorley - Peterborough Sports	2:0
22.04.23	Chorley - Peterborough Sports	1:0
22.10.22	Peterborough Sports - Chorley	0:0
English FA Cup
06.10.18	Peterborough Sports - Chorley	0:3

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