Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Darmstadt		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.1	3.7	3.25
	2.1	3.4	3.15	Watch
	2.23	3.8	3.3
	1.94	3.44	3.88	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.19	3.54	3.19	Watch
	2.45	3.55	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.35)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	3.24 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
43.9%

Draw
26.9%

Hertha Berlin
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

25.9%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

24.8%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hertha Berlin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	8.3%	4.2%

Darmstadt - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 21 - 87.5%). Hertha will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 74.3% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Darmstadt (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Darmstadt (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Darmstadt will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (G) 21. Papela M. 6. Pfeiffer P. 20. Vukotic A. 15. Nurnberger F. 17. Klefisch K. 16. Akiyama H. 23. Richter M. 9. Hornby F. 34. Corredor K. 7. Lidberg I.	1. Ernst T. (G) 44. Gechter L. 37. Leistner T. 27. Kolbe N. 2. Eitschberger J. 10. Cuisance M. 5. Jensen L. 42. Zeefuik D. 24. Thorsteinsson J. D. 14. Krattenmacher M. 11. Reese F.
Substitutes
27. Bialek B. 10. Boetius J-P. 30. Brunst A. (G) 44. Furukawa Y. 22. Guler S. 32. Holland F. 3. Klassen L. 5. Maglica M. 8. Marseiler L.	34. Berner J. 31. Dardai M. 23. Eichhorn K. 17. Gronning S. 9. Kownacki D. 3. Rogel A. 8. Sessa K. 12. Smarsch D. (G) 22. Winkler M.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Leitl S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Richter M. 🟨,
61', Akiyama H. ↓, Maglica M. ↑,
61', Richter M. ↓, Marseiler L. ↑,
67', Kolbe N. ↓, Dardai M. ↑,
67', Thorsteinsson J. D. ↓, Kownacki D. ↑,
87', Lidberg I. ↓, Bialek B. ↑,
87', Corredor K. ↓, Boetius J-P. ↑,
89', Jensen L. 🟨,
90+7', Eitschberger J. ↓, Rogel A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 1.

Darmstadt is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hertha has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hertha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Darmstadt will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Lopez S. (Back Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. (Ankle Injury) Gersbeck M. (Shoulder Injury) Goller T. (Shoulder Injury) Karbownik M. (Ankle Injury) Klemens P. (Ankle Injury) Schuler L. (Lacking Match Fitness) Seguin P. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Hertha: Demme D. (Head Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Lübeck - Darmstadt	1:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
08.08.25	Nürnberg - Darmstadt	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Darmstadt - Bochum	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Hoffenheim - Darmstadt	3:1 ✺
17.07.25	St. Gallen - Darmstadt	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWLW
- Hertha Berlin
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Preußen Münster - Hertha Berlin	0:1 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.25	Hertha Berlin - Karlsruher	0:0 ✺
01.08.25	Schalke 04 - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.25	Motherwell - Hertha Berlin	1:1 ✺
18.07.25	Austria Wien - Hertha Berlin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
12.04.25	Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt	1:1
09.11.24	Darmstadt - Hertha Berlin	3:1
German DFB Pokal
30.10.18	Darmstadt - Hertha Berlin	0:2
German Bundesliga
13.05.17	Darmstadt - Hertha Berlin	0:2
21.12.16	Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt	2:0
07.05.16	Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt	1:2
12.12.15	Darmstadt - Hertha Berlin	0:4

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