Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen)

Referee: Hempel R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	SAT1, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belarus	Okko Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	SAT1, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	SAT1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, S Sport+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Schalke 04		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.85	3.5	2.35
	2.8	3.4	2.3	Watch
	3.01	3.54	2.42
	2.84	3.38	2.41	Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.38	Watch
	2.87	3.44	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (2.93)	3.44 ↑ (3.34)	2.37 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
32.9%

Draw
27.4%

Hertha Berlin
39.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.2%

28.3%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

28.4%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24%	24%	52%

Schalke 04 - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Hertha will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Schalke (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Hertha (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hertha Berlin will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Hertha (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. (C) 25. Katic N. 2. Sanchez F. 17. Gantenbein A. 6. Schallenberg R. 23. El-Faouzi S. 33. Becker V. 39. Remmert P. 18. Antwi-Adjei C. 9. Sylla M.	1. Ernst T. (G) 42. Zeefuik D. 37. Leistner T. 31. Dardai M. 2. Eitschberger J. 10. Cuisance M. 6. Demme D. 33. Karbownik M. 14. Krattenmacher M. 9. Kownacki D. 11. Reese F. (C)
Substitutes
43. Ayhan M. 31. Bulut T. 37. Gruger M. 24. Hamache I. 28. Heekeren J. (G) 15. Hojlund E. 11. Lasme B. 41. Matriciani H. 16. Zalazar M.	23. Eichhorn K. 17. Gronning S. 5. Jensen L. 27. Kolbe N. 13. Kwasigroch R. (G) 21. Mamuzah Lum B. 3. Rogel A. 24. Thorsteinsson J. D. 22. Winkler M.
Coaches
Muslic M.	Leitl S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Sylla M. ⚽, Remmert P. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Katic N. ⚽, Antwi-Adjei C. (A),
32', Gantenbein A. 🟨,
45', Antwi-Adjei C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dardai M. ↓, Kolbe N. ↑,
61', Remmert P. ↓, Gruger M. ↑,
66', Demme D. 🟨,
69', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Thorsteinsson J. D. ↑,
69', Karbownik M. ↓, Winkler M. ↑,
74', Sanchez F. 🟨,
77', Antwi-Adjei C. ↓, Lasme B. ↑,
77', Sylla M. ↓, Hojlund E. ↑,
80', Cuisance M. ↓, Jensen L. ↑,
80', Kownacki D. ↓, Gronning S. ↑,
88', Sanchez F. ↓, Ayhan M. ↑,
88', Gantenbein A. ↓, Bulut T. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Gronning S. ⚽, Winkler M. (A),
89', Becker T. 🟨,
89', Katic N. 🟨,
90+4', Karius L. 🟨,
90+9', Katic N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 2.

Schalke has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hertha is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Schalke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z. (Knee Injury) Bachmann J. (Knock) Bayindir A. (Thigh Injury) Kalas T. (Knock)

There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. (Ankle Injury) Gechter L. (Red Card) Gersbeck M. (Shoulder Injury) Goller T. (Shoulder Injury) Hussein B. (Ankle Injury) Klemens P. (Ankle Injury) Schuler L. (Injury) Seguin P. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Schalke: Karaman K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Hertha: Sessa K. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:32. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 2:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Hertha Berlin - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 39.49%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Schalke 04 - Sevilla	2:4 ✺
20.07.25	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Schalke 04	0:3 ✺
19.07.25	Schalke 04 - Twente	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Schalke 04 - St. Gallen	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Schalke 04	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTWL
- Hertha Berlin
Club Friendly
25.07.25	Motherwell - Hertha Berlin	1:1 ✺
18.07.25	Austria Wien - Hertha Berlin	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Hertha Berlin - İstanbul Başakşehir	Canceled ✺
13.07.25	Brøndby - Hertha Berlin	1:0 ✺
08.07.25	Hertha Berlin - TSV Havelse	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TW?LW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
08.03.25	Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04	1:2
05.10.24	Schalke 04 - Hertha Berlin	2:2
17.03.24	Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04	5:2
08.10.23	Schalke 04 - Hertha Berlin	1:2
German Bundesliga
14.04.23	Schalke 04 - Hertha Berlin	5:2
23.10.22	Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04	2:1
12.05.21	Schalke 04 - Hertha Berlin	1:2

Upcoming Matches