Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Elversberg		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	3.7	Watch
	1.88	3.7	3.6	Watch
	1.9	3.95	4.05
	2.13	3.65	3.17	Watch
	1.91	3.68	3.67	Watch
	1.86	3.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.13)	3.76 ↑ (3.65)	3.67 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
49.1%

Draw
25.1%

Darmstadt
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

25.9%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

27.1%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	29.4%	0%

Elversberg - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Darmstadt (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Darmstadt (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 19. Pinckert L. 3. Le Joncour F. (C) 21. Gunther L. 6. Conde A. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 10. Conte B. 29. Zimmerschied T. 22. Ebnoutalib Y.	1. Schuhen M. (C) 2. Lopez S. 6. Pfeiffer P. 20. Vukotic A. 15. Nurnberger F. 17. Klefisch K. 16. Akiyama H. 8. Marseiler L. 34. Corredor K. 7. Lidberg I. 9. Hornby F.
Substitutes
28. Boss T. (G) 43. Keidel F. 14. Malanga J. 2. Mickelson N. 31. Rohr M. 17. Schmahl F. 24. Schnellbacher L. 23. Sickinger C. 9. Stange O.	26. Bader M. 27. Bialek B. 30. Brunst A. (G) 44. Furukawa Y. 32. Holland F. 5. Maglica M. 21. Papela M. 23. Richter M. 28. Will P.
Coaches
Wagner V.	Kohfeldt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Hornby F. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Richter M. 🟨,
57', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
57', Gunther L. ↓, Keidel F. ↑,
63', Lopez S. ↓, Bader M. ↑,
64', Akiyama H. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
69', Conde A. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
70', Gyamerah J. ↓, Mickelson N. ↑,
85', Marseiler L. ↓, Maglica M. ↑,
85', Ebnoutalib Y. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 2.

Elversberg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Darmstadt is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Darmstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Elversberg has had a series of away games.

Elversberg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Feil M. (Inactive) Pfeiffer L. (Foot Injury) Seifert L. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Darmstadt: Maglica M. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Elversberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
23.11.25	Karlsruher - Elversberg	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Elversberg - Hannover	2:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Hertha Berlin - Elversberg	3:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Elversberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTLL
- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
22.11.25	Darmstadt - Greuther Fürth	4:2 ✺
08.11.25	Hannover - Darmstadt	2:3 ✺
01.11.25	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	4:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
24.10.25	Schalke 04 - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
08.02.25	Darmstadt - Elversberg	0:3
31.08.24	Elversberg - Darmstadt	4:0
Club Friendly
13.10.23	Darmstadt - Elversberg	4:2
28.06.22	Darmstadt - Elversberg	1:1
German 3 Bundesliga
20.12.13	Elversberg - Darmstadt	0:3
20.07.13	Darmstadt - Elversberg	0:0

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