Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 31

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event, Sport 1
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub, Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Sports 4


	Darmstadt		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.75	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.04	3.5	3.5
	2.08	3.67	3.62
	1.95	3.5	3.5	Watch
	1.99	3.7	3.52	Watch
	2.01	3.65	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.13)	3.59 ↑ (3.57)	3.57 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
47.1%

Draw
26.4%

St. Pauli
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

26.6%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

26.7%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	29.4%	11.8%

Darmstadt - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 5).

Darmstadt has the most likely position - 1 (79.13%), project points - 71, currently - 64, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of promoted (>99%), a good chance of win league (79%).

St. Pauli has the most likely position - 6 (37.13%), project points - 56, currently - 50, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has quality 40, importance 54, match rating 47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 2.

Darmstadt is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches St. Pauli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Darmstadt will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
30.04.23	Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt	0:3 ✺
21.04.23	Darmstadt - Karlsruher	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
09.04.23	Darmstadt - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
31.03.23	Nürnberg - Darmstadt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWW
- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
29.04.23	St. Pauli - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
21.04.23	Hamburger SV - St. Pauli	4:3 ✺
16.04.23	St. Pauli - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Heidenheim - St. Pauli	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	St. Pauli - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
29.10.22	St. Pauli - Darmstadt	1:1
23.04.22	St. Pauli - Darmstadt	1:2
20.11.21	Darmstadt - St. Pauli	4:0
20.02.21	St. Pauli - Darmstadt	3:2
24.10.20	Darmstadt - St. Pauli	2:2
23.05.20	Darmstadt - St. Pauli	4:0
19.10.19	St. Pauli - Darmstadt	0:1

Upcoming Matches