Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 9

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:30	Disney+
Armenia	20:30	Fast Sports
Australia	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	18:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Sport 4P
Bulgaria	19:30	Nova Sport
Chile	13:30	Disney+
Colombia	11:30	Disney+
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	Viaplay
Finland	19:30	Viaplay
Germany	18:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hong Kong	00:30	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	16:30	Viaplay
Laos	23:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	05:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	18:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:30	Viaplay
Peru	11:30	Disney+
Philippines	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	17:30	DAZN / App
Romania	19:30	Prima Sport PPV 1
Saudi Arabia	19:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	18:30	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	00:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	18:30	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	18:30	Sport TV3
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	23:30	beIN Connect
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+
International	16:30	OneFootball TV


	Darmstadt		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3.10	3.40	2.30
	2.85	3.35	2.25	Watch
	3.12	3.5	2.39
	3.04	3.5	2.29	Watch
	3.05	3.45	2.35
	2.89	3.61	2.33	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.91)	3.48 ↓ (3.67)	2.31 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
31.8%

Draw
27.2%

St. Pauli
41%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

25.4%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

24.9%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Darmstadt - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - St. Pauli (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.80) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 1 - 50%). St. Pauli (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (C) 25. Mikelbrencis W. 6. Pfeiffer P. 49. Luhrs Y. 18. Petretta R. 5. Richter M. 17. Klefisch K. 16. Akiyama H. 7. Weisshaupt N. 19. Lakenmacher F. 36. Smit M.	1. Voll B. (G) 4. Nemeth D. (C) 8. Smith E. 21. Ritzka L. 11. Pyrka A. 20. Rasmussen M. 16. Fujita J. 23. Oppie L. 24. Metcalfe C. 7. Niang Y. 9. Ceesay A.
Substitutes
30. Brunst A. (G) 41. Duijvestijn L. 11. El Kadiri I. 22. Kehl L. 3. Kleinhansl F. 28. Lannert C. 9. Lee Ho-Jae 10. Verkooijen N. 20. Vukotic A.	15. Ando T. 25. Dzwigala A. 18. Hara T. 10. Hrgota B. 26. Jones R.J. 19. Kaars M. 22. Klein S. 6. Mathisen M. 33. Mitov D. (G)
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Rapp M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Pyrka A. 🟨,
26', Petretta R. 🟨,
26', Ceesay A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rasmussen M. ↓, Klein S. ↑,
46', Pyrka A. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
46', Ceesay A. ↓, Kaars M. ↑,
56', Klefisch K. 🟨,
62', Lakenmacher F. ↓, Lee Ho-Jae ↑,
62', Richter M. ↓, Verkooijen N. ↑,
65', Dzwigala A. 🟨,
67', Niang Y. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
83', Smith E. 🟨,
84', Metcalfe C. ↓, Hrgota B. ↑,
85', Smit M. ↓, Duijvestijn L. ↑,
90+3', Mikelbrencis W. 🟨,
90+4', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Lannert C. ↑,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 17th in the Relegation - 3. Liga and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 2.

Darmstadt has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

St. Pauli is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

St. Pauli is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Darmstadt has recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:13 (averaging 1.7:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Darmstadt against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 16:6 goals (averaging 2.3:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	St. Pauli	9	2	6	1	11:9	2	12
18	Darmstadt	9	2	2	5	8:18	-10	8

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

St. Pauli: 3.69% Darmstadt: 0.68%

Last Results with these Odds

Darmstadt - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 32.09%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
18.10.26	Karlsruher - Darmstadt	4:0 ✺
10.10.26	Darmstadt - Energie Cottbus	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.09.26	San Antonio - Darmstadt	0:7 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
18.09.26	Wolfsburg - Darmstadt	5:1 ✺
11.09.26	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLW
- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
17.10.26	Hannover - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	St. Pauli - Karlsruher	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.09.26	Energie Cottbus - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	St. Pauli - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
06.05.23	Darmstadt - St. Pauli	0:3
29.10.22	St. Pauli - Darmstadt	1:1
23.04.22	St. Pauli - Darmstadt	1:2
20.11.21	Darmstadt - St. Pauli	4:0
20.02.21	St. Pauli - Darmstadt	3:2
24.10.20	Darmstadt - St. Pauli	2:2
23.05.20	Darmstadt - St. Pauli	4:0

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