Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
Usa	ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Darmstadt		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.75
	1.68	4	4.5	Watch
	1.71	4.05	4.95
	1.7	4	4.7	Watch
	1.62	4	4.75	Watch
	1.7	4.05	4.62	Watch
	1.68	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.79)	3.99 ↓ (4.1)	4.69 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
56.2%

Draw
23.7%

Ulm 1846
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

23.3%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

23%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	5.6%	5.6%

Darmstadt - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Users Predictions: Darmstadt will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (G) 2. Lopez S. 38. Riedel C. (C) 20. Vukotic A. 15. Nurnberger F. 18. Forster P. 17. Klefisch K. 16. Muller A. 34. Corredor K. 7. Lidberg I. 9. Hornby F.	1. Thiede N. (G) 6. Geyer T. 32. Strompf P. 27. Kolbe N. 19. Meier J. 38. Hyrylainen L. 23. Brandt M. 43. Rosch R. 11. Chessa D. 16. Keller A. 33. Higl F.
Substitutes
30. Brunst A. (G) 3. Bueno G. 47. El Idrissi O. 11. Kempe T. 19. Lakenmacher F. 5. Maglica M. 21. Papela M. 13. Thiede M.	7. Allgeier B. 4. Gaal T. 30. Krattenmacher M. 10. Ludwig A. 26. Maier P. 9. Roser L. 12. Seybold M. (G) 29. Telalovic S. 20. Ulrich L.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Worle T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Hornby F. ⚽, Lidberg I. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Keller A. ⚽, Chessa D. (A),
30', Hornby F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Keller A. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
60', Vukotic A. 🟨,
62', Chessa D. 🟨,
67', Hyrylainen L. ↓, Maier P. ↑,
70', Rosch R. 🟨,
70', Corredor K. ↓, Kempe T. ↑,
70', Hornby F. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
74', Rosch R. ↓, Allgeier B. ↑,
74', Higl F. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
77', Muller A. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
77', Forster P. ↓, Bueno G. ↑,
80', Brandt M. 🟨,
90+1', Brandt M. ↓, Ulrich L. ↑,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).

Darmstadt is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ulm is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Darmstadt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Darmstadt is a favorite.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Holland F. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury) Zimmermann C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ulm: Kahvic A. (Knee Injury) Ortag C. (Collarbone injury) Reichert J. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
18.10.24	Darmstadt - Köln	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.10.24	Darmstadt - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.24	Karlsruher - Darmstadt	3:3 ✺
28.09.24	Darmstadt - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
20.09.24	Schalke 04 - Darmstadt	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWTLW
- Ulm 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
20.10.24	Ulm 1846 - Karlsruher	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Stuttgart - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.24	Köln - Ulm 1846	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Ulm 1846 - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:1 ✺
22.09.24	Elversberg - Ulm 1846	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTLWW

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